The Trump Personality in Politics

Ilhan Omar calls on House leadership to take action against Lauren ...
Part of the House Republican clown caucus (l-r): Lauren Boebert, Matt Gaetz, Majorie Taylor Greene

As a public-school teacher for 30 years, I know the critical rule of classroom management.  If one kid’s bad behavior is left unattended, it won’t take long for the classroom to become a zoo.  A parallel is Trump’s entry into the Republican presidential sweepstakes in 2015.  More than Trump entered the race, also came his personality.  It has left an impression on certain adolescent-minded clusters of grownups in the Republican Party – both registered voters and some in elected office.  Think of the clown caucus who engineered the ouster of Kevin McCarthy as Speaker.

“Trumpian” boils down to braggadocio, bombast, simplistic and blunt issues in a blunt style with a lot of bullying of friends and foes alike.  It’s the over-the-top behavior of a person who craves the tabloid limelight.  The Obama birth certificate dustup is a classic example of a simplistic and blunt issue to be exploited for personal gain, which would be Trump’s signature approach to modern politics.  The only thing is, the bombast that drew so much attention ended in Trump scaping egg off his face when Obama produced the document.

Few, however, would predict that a windbag’s curtly rudeness would have an appeal among the rank and file.  And the whole style seemed to be electorally validated when Trump won in a 2016 black swan event.  Success can bring out the worst in people, and “Trumpian” came to be as fashionable as the John Wayne swagger in the 1950s.

While the personality type is appealing to certain party voters, it’s a big turnoff to getable swaths of the general electorate.  After 2016, Trump’s appeal down ballot was a disaster.  Let’s not forget 2022, at a time when the Democrats have made a shambles of the country, the Republicans could only squeak out a bare majority in the House leaving the clown caucus in a position to put their Trumpian hijinks on public display.  The Republicans are proving that neo-Marxism is survivable if Trump, his political personality, and the clown caucus are the face of party.

In Orwell’s “1984”, Big Brother had a face. In today’s rendition of the Republican Party, its face is that of Donald Trump with the likes of Matt Gaetz, Lauren Boebert, Majorie Taylor Greene, Matt Rosendale, and Nancy Mace in a chorus line behind.  Big Brother wouldn’t be laughed at; the picture of Trump and the Trumpkins elicits guffaws at first, followed by beads of sweat from the realization that they have actual power.  To be sure, these are not the kind of people that I would trust with my kids.

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Big brother from 1984

95,000 words, many of them ominous, from Trump's tongue ...

The despicability of the Democratic Party and a sizeable faction in the Republican Party is registered in polls, something that you’ll recognize if you rely on more than Laura Ingraham for your news.  She doesn’t hesitate to bellow a poll with Trump ahead of Biden.  Yet, the reality in the most recent Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll presents a more complicated picture (see below).  Yes, among Republican primary voters, Trump is far and away the favorite with 58%.  Metrics of enthusiasm for Trump are high among these voters.  But – here’s the key number – among the general electorate, Biden squeaks out a tiny lead, essentially a tie.

Trump is favored on a host of issues – the border, economy, foreign affairs – but when offered a choice between Biden and Trump, it’s essentially a dead heat.  What’s holding Trump and the Republicans back from a sweeping lead?  Look at Trump’s negatives.  He’s even more reviled than Biden in a recent NBC News poll (see below).  Biden’s negative rating stands at 49%; Trump registers a 54% downside.  Megaphones like Laura Ingraham of Fox News would mention a Trump lead in a poll’s head-to-head matchup, but nary a word about Trump’s unlikability.  Does “putting lipstick on a pig” remind you of anything?

The Trump personality is only appealing to a sizeable portion of the Republican Party base.  It’s reviled nearly everywhere else.  Trumpian bluster might carry a candidate through the primary, but in places other than a crimson district, it’s the kiss of death.  If you want to stop the Democrats’ neo-Marxism, first win elections.  What’s a turn-on for primary voters can be poison in the general election.

Democrats know this.  That’s why they’re interfering in Republican primaries to elect Trumpians.  In my home state of Montana, mysterious ads are appearing that throw mud on Tim Sheehy, who’s challenged in the primary by the Trumpian Matt Rosendale.  Not a word in these hit pieces about Rosendale.

The group – Last Best Place PAC – is an undercover Democrat operation (see below) to help get Rosendale the nomination and, thus, an easier challenger for incumbent Democrat John Tester.  It’s the same Democrat tried-and-true tactic from 2022.  It’s not out of distaste for Sheehy that drives Schumer and company to stick it to Sheehy.  He knows, like everyone else who are not fans of the Trump schtick, that a Trumpian is a weaker candidate.  What worked in Arizona, Pennsylvania, et al, in 2022 has a good chance of succeeding in 2024.  Watch Republicans rush headlong into the trap.

Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)

Further, watch an example of a boisterous Trumpian on full display, Lauren Boebert from September of this year.  After this, is she like Trump – “I could stand in the middle of 5th Ave. and shoot somebody and I wouldn’t lose any voters” – and therefore immune from the voters’ wrath?  Are some Republican voters that morally stunted?  Is the Trumpian personality that hypnotizing?

The Trumpian personality came through the door in 2016 and has entrenched itself.  At this point, the party will have to face a disaster before the malignancy can be removed.  Like a classroom under the control of hellions, we have a party that has allowed this element to run roughshod.  And we will pay the piper.

RogerG

Read more here:

* For deep dive into the Suffolk University/USA TODAY poll, see the full text of the poll at https://www.suffolk.edu/-/media/suffolk/documents/academics/research-at-suffolk/suprc/polls/national/2023/10_24_2023_marginals_embargoed_2.pdf?la=en&hash=ABF93DCEAAFCA91DBE9BD17A2A10E4E4A2C6189E

* The NBC News poll can be read at https://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read/poll-overwhelming-majorities-express-concerns-biden-trump-ahead-2024-r-rcna111347

* “Nine months before the Montana GOP primary, a mysterious super PAC is on the airwaves attacking Tim Sheehy”, Ally Mutnick, Politico, September 12, 2023, at https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2023/09/12/congress/montana-senate-sheehy-pac-ads-00115276

* More on the Democrat-affiliated PAC: “Dems Look To Meddle in Montana’s GOP Senate Primary”, Meghan Blonder, The Washington Free Beacon, September 13, 2023, at https://freebeacon.com/elections/dems-look-to-meddle-in-montanas-gop-senate-primary/

The GOP’s TPAC Suicide Squadron for 2024

Steve Bannon blasts Murdochs, Fox News in fiery CPAC speech | The Hill
Steve Bannon at CPAC 2023

CPAC may be turning into a pure Trump personality cult.  The first “C” in the anacronym stands for conservative, but truth in advertising demands that it be replaced by a “T” for Trump Political Action Committee – TPAC.  If Steve Bannon’s recent speech before the group is any indication, and the thunderous reception that it received, the Trump hero-worship brigades are fully prepared to torpedo the GOP’s chances in 2024 and saddle us with more of the looney left in the seats of power.

Watch a portion of the Bannon speech in the link below.

Bannon is nuts, and so is the TPAC audience.  If the numbers in a recent poll are reasonably accurate, 43% of registered Republicans support Trump as the party’s nominee.  43% of Republicans equates to 12% of all registered voters because 40% of all party registrations nationwide are Democrats versus 29% Republicans.  Do the math.  43% of 29% equals roughly 12%.

A good portion of that 12% are diehards for an intensely polarizing figure.  Let’s say half of the 12% are zealous true-believers (only-Trumpers) which reduces the kamikaze recruits to 6% of all registered voters.  Trump only gets more polarizing as he pushes a “stop the steal” story that he can’t prove in court and mires others who were sympathetic into more legal trouble for lending some credence to it.

Trial Lawyer Richard on Twitter: "I think they'll follow him until his downfall. Richard Nixon ...

Dominion v. Fox News is only one case in point.  The network and its primetime lineup should be applauded for their honesty rather than castigated by a fanatic like Bannon.  The depositions and disclosures of Fox News internal communications in court forces me to partly reevaluate some of my earlier criticisms of Fox’s celebrity pundits.  Those disclosures further confirm the out-of-their-mind emotional state of that 6%.  The Bannon audience at TPAC, if it’s typical of the cranks attracted to Trump, can only lead the party to more dismal electoral performance – 2018, 2020, and the red wave of 2022 turning into a ripple.

The attacks on Paul Ryan are particularly galling.  Somehow, the low-tax/small-government/free-market philosophy of every Republican from Coolidge to Reagan as represented by Ryan is besmirched by ad hominem attacks by the cult’s agitators.  It’s just that Ryan won’t pledge fealty to Trump, and that list of dissenters from Trump megalomania has only grown as more people cross paths with the alleged demi-god.  Now, we must add Fox News to the ever-lengthening enemy’s list.  How many more dissenters from Trump worship must there be before the TPAC crowd begins to question their slavish devotion to a self-absorbed and octogenarian adolescent.

Facebook Shuts Down Pro-Trump 'Stop the Steal' Group | Time

Ryan promises not to attend the Republican convention if Trump is the nominee.  I’ll leave the presidential line on the ballot blank if he once again bamboozles the party into the nomination.  The argument that it’s a binary choice has worn its welcome.

Trump is a loser.  He turns off more than he turns on.  His electoral performance over three elections is proof.  The only way for him to deny the numbers is to label them as fraud without the proof to convince a judge and jury, let alone a majority of the electorate in a presidential contest.  At a certain point, Trump is just embarrassing.  Embarrassment doth not make a winner.

Picture

RogerG

* “CPAC Crowd Stands and Cheers as Raging Steve Bannon Vows to Bring Down Fox News: ‘We’re Going To Fight You Every Step Of The Way!’”, Mediaite, 3/3/2023, at https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/cpac-crowd-stands-and-cheers-as-raging-steve-bannon-vows-to-bring-down-fox-news-we-re-going-to-fight-you-every-step-of-the-way/ar-AA18cqic?ocid=msedgntp&cvid=e82b976dd18142c187e4f85ded29053a&ei=32

The Transcript Says Something Other Than “Impeachment”

The transcript, read it for yourself here.

The transcript is a Rorschach test exposing the realities of domestic and international politics.  What does it mean?  Here’s my take.

(1) Politics brings out the crudity in people.  Yes, Trump is crude, him being a political neophyte with all the rough edges and a huge ego.  But have you watched the Democrats’ presidential sweepstakes lately?  It’s insanity on parade.  Their rants include more than wacko ideas but also serial insults to Trump (“punch him in the face”, etc.) and half of the electorate (“racist”, “anti-gay”, “we’re going to forcibly take your guns”, etc.).  Trump is crude and the Democrats are crude and unelectable.

(2) Washington, DC, is a cesspool – not the city but the environs around the capitol.  There is a Deep State and it’s in those dozens of blocks encompassing the Mall.  The “whistleblower” apears to be a never-Trumper.  The whistleblowing complaint apparently is based on scuttlebutt from water-cooler or social banter.  The complainant wasn’t tapped into the president’s line.  If he’s a never-Trumper, he (or she, et al) will have to join the hierarchy in the State Dept., Justice Dept., and intelligence community in 2016 and 2017.  A partisan leak has been recast as whistleblowing.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky.

(3) The transcript shows the nature of politics as it has existed since political power was wedded to a human being.  Trump’s call to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is not unknown in history.  For example, FDR’s shenanigans in going after Samuel Insull, a prominent utility CEO, just because he needed a scalp for the Depression, was sickening.  After they finally got their hands on him, and after much chicanery with France, Greece, and Turkey, all FDR and the boys (girls, et al) got was an innocent verdict on all counts.  Do I need to delve into the more egregious antics of JFK, LBJ, and Richard Nixon?

Samuel Insull

(4) Trump’s call has an interesting predicate: Joe Biden’s on-air boast in 2016 that he got a Ukrainian prosecutor fired.  He was the same prosecutor, Viktor Shokin, who was investigating Burisma Holdings for corruption at the time his son was on the Board of Directors.  Intriguing, eh?

Viktor Shokin

(5) The transcript of Trump’s call shows no quid pro quo: as in, you give me the dirt on Biden and I’ll give you American aid.  You could argue that it is implied, but that would be no more dispositive than Sens. Robert Menendez (D-N.J.), Richard J. Durbin (D-Ill.) and Patrick J. Leahy (D-Vt.) letter to Ukraine’s prosecutor general, Yuriy Lutsenko, demanding the end of investigations critical of Robert Mueller’s probe.  They demanded that he “reverse course and halt any efforts to impede cooperation with this important investigation.”  You can read about the episode here.

Yuriy Lutsenko

(6) The Ukraine seems to be as entwined in American politics circa 2016 as Russia was alleged to be.  Trump’s call makes it abundantly clear.  First, Ukraine may have been on helpful terms with at least Obama if not the Democrats in that election cycle.  How helpful?  The transcript shows Trump mentioning two things: Crowdstrike and the US ambassador to the Ukraine, Marie Yovanovitch.  The ambassador was, not surprisingly, an Obama administration conduit to the Ukraine, and given the spying capers on Trump in 2016, would be involved in any Ukrainian hanky-panky.  Speculation?  Yep, but no different than the knee-jerk cries of “outrageous” regarding anything Trump.  And there’s the mention of the cyber-security firm Crowdstrike.  It was the company who was paid by the DNC to take possession of their server and examine it for evidence of hacking.  It’s out of this Democrat-funded escapade that we have the Russia-hacked-our-election chant.  What’s the Ukrainian connection?  Well, there’s enough intriguing evidence for John Durham to be looking into it.  You can read about it here.

I’m sure that more can be said and will be said in the coming days.  As for me, as of right now, one more thing needs to be mentioned.  The Democrats are out to reverse an election.  Suburban voters in the 2018 elections handed power to a party bent on imposing socialism and removing a president.  Is this what these voters wanted?  I kinda doubt it, but they are getting it anyway.  Indeed, they should have known this would happen because the party leadership said as much since inauguration day 2017.

The 2018 elections show one weakness of democracy.  It was indicative of how an electorate can be whipsawed from detestation of presidential behavior to handing power to the irresponsible.  The individuals who were elected in swing districts may not be like the core of the party, but the newcomers will help a party with statist socialism in their political DNA to gain majority status.  Those 40 reps pale when compared to the 195 others.  It’s simply a matter of math.

Thank you swing-district voters.  Now we have an impeachment-palooza and socialism on the cusp of being the law of the land.

RogerG

A Teenage Central Planner

Alexandra Ocasio Cortez, D, NY.

Think of this as a personal letter to Alexandra Ocasio Cortez.  My purpose is to remind her that she’s 29, not 16, and should think like it.

Move over you establishment types, the youngins are elbowing their way in, and they fully intend to impose their fantasies on how the world works.  Many happen to be Bernie-bros/gals/? and are fully marinated in identity pandering and socialism, the bane of millennials everywhere.  The current sensation is Alexandra Ocasio Cortez (AOC), all of 29 years old and ready to lecture everyone on the need to reshape their lives to match her dream.  Her beau-ideal is a hyper version of California – take California and sprinkle a heavy dose of the looney-left-on-speed.  She wants to take this uber-cousin of California national, and international.

If you find this kind of thing appealing, sharp objects, intoxicants, and land salesmen shouldn’t be within reach.  Personally, I think she is simpleminded.  She’s proof that anyone can get a college degree and come out of it dense as granite.  Oh, she can put a sentence together but it’s all so glib.  She can’t help it since she knows and understands so little.

Her Path to an Erotic Relationship with Socialism

Her ignorance is only matched by her bravado, something common in a youthful zealot.  There’s nothing in her background to prove otherwise.  The Wikipedia bio on her reads like an inflated paper resume’.  Look for yourself.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Alexandria_Ocasio-Cortez

During her formative years, she was immersed in all things Hispanic.  She was coddled and favored within the cramped confines of Hispanic activism.  Not surprisingly, ethnic identity matters a lot to her and it shows in the inanities that roll out her mouth.

One of the oddities in social research is the fondness in the offspring of the comfortable middle and upper classes for lefty causes.  AOC fits the bill since she was raised in a Westchester County, NY, a region with 2-3 times the per capita income of the district that she now represents.  Things got financially dicey for the family upon the death of her father, but her general outlook had already been cemented by then.  Once it had solidified, everything else would be funneled through the mental prism.

Her education didn’t correct for the silliness, and probably made it worse.  Think of it: her Boston University BA in International Relations with a minor in Economics led her to … socialism.  Socialism isn’t economics; it’s public administration.  Socialism occurs when the government controls most of everything, ergo the public administration.  Those decisions of buying and selling are taken from individuals and turned over to government bureaus. Does she know that?  Was she ever schooled in its failures?  Real economics either didn’t stick for Alexandra  or it was the largest category of units to be cobbled together to make for a paper minor.  Either way, her socialism is ipso facto proof that she doesn’t understand the subject.

A Primer for AOC

A stroll down memory lane would help fill her huge knowledge deficits, but she’s also got an experience handicap in having been born in 1989.  Her mother gave birth as Reagan slipped off into retirement.  The last dose of domestic socialism in the mid-60’s to the late 70’s would be only a history book recitation for her, if that.  The horrors of the international variety likewise.  In the US, the period’s skyrocketing crime, the pandemics of STD’s and drugs, a near decade of inflationary recession, the Sovietizing of housing in urban renewal, the dole’s destruction of the inner-city family, etc., would be conceptual at best and therefore easy to dismiss once she settled on a weltanschauung.

Overseas, the era’s wreckage was even more stark.  Did it penetrate AOC’s brain?  If so, there’s no evidence of it.  There’s a reason for socialism’s black eye in the fall of the Berlin Wall, collapse of the Soviet Union, the Tienanmen Square massacre, the gulags and reeducation camps, the mass exterminations, and Eastern Europe throwing off its shackles and joining the West.  She might have in mind the welfare states of Scandinavia as her template for socialism, but how much does she understand their situations?  My guess is that she wouldn’t let any discomforting thoughts spoil the fairy tale.

Soviet-era housing in Latvia.

All the evidence points to deep and abiding ignorance.  Take a look at this typical example of her airy pronouncements:

“When we talk about the word ‘socialism,’ I think what it really means is just democratic participation in our economic dignity and our economic, social, and racial dignity. It is about direct representation and people actually having power and stake over their economic and social wellness, at the end of the day.”

She’s in substantial agreement with Marx when he once said, “Democracy is the road to socialism.”  Alexandra just resurrected the old codger whether she realizes it or not.  My bet is that she’s oblivious.

She can’t comprehend that mixing “socialism” with “democracy” is just introducing more politics into the provisioning of wants and needs.  More and more of life is exposed to ambitious politicos, campaigning, political donations, busybody activists, lobbying, and civil service-protected government workers.  It’s unavoidable.  That’s AOC’s socialism, and that’s ruination.  Come on, Alexandra, do we really need more of our existence to be put to a vote?  She apparently believes so.

The resurgence under Reagan and the public intellectual debate that proceeded it appear to be beyond her familiarity.  A new cadre of free-market economists at the time convincingly showed that the long-neglected production side of the economic equation was, and still is, an important answer to the doldrums.

It’s based on a simple truism: an economy’s good fortune doesn’t ride on the job-creating potential of poor people.  You need rich people for jobs.  Rather than fleece them and cause their dollars to go underground, reduce their punishment and allow them to keep more their earnings.  Ditto for the rest of population.  It’s called “tax cuts” and they were  successfully implemented by JFK and Reagan.  The AOCs of the world want government to abscond with more of people’s earnings so a collection of short-sighted and politically powerful activists can decide.    It’s why they’re socialists, and it’s why they ought not to be trusted with power.

Others in this grand discussion of the 70’s and 80’s – before AOC was even a blastocyst – started to notice the social dissolution that arose during and after the Great Society splurge.  Government largesse in entitlements seemed to foster a dependency that isn’t conducive to human well-being.  Work requirements for welfare, broken windows policing, block granting to the states, and removing the subsidy for underage motherhood came out of this grand rethink.  Words like accountability, responsibility, and self-reliance made a comeback.  Though, not for Alexandra.  She’s clueless.

Alexandra, watch this short report from 1970 NBC News on Chicago’s Cabrini Green housing project.

She in her makeshift reasoning unknowingly wants a return to those days of Carter’s famous one-word description, malaise.

Hardly is she forward looking.  She’s stuck in the past.  Ocasio Cortez  and others like her are still planted in the mind of Bernie Sanders and his world of 1988 when he was 37 and honeymooning in the Soviet Union.  Actually, her ideological lineage  goes back further to Tom Hayden, the SDS, and Port Huron Statement.  Her’s is a reactionary perspective, not a revolutionary one.  Alexandra, here’s news for you: been there, done that.  It’s old hat.

Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders visited the medical school on his trip to Yaroslavl, Russia, in 1988. PHOTO: COURTESY OF VALERY VOLOVENKO

Certain basic realities haven’t set into her brain about her favorite hobbyhorse.  Socialism, for instance, has peculiar centralizing tendencies.   You can’t have it without a central planner.  If you allow freedom and pursue only a more local variety of it, the ensuing jurisdictional competition and free choice would kill it off with great fanfare as shortages and long lines cause rapid depopulation away from the grip of local zealots like her.  The only way to implement the monstrosity is to nationally impose the misery from a central point under the sway of all-powerful ideological oligarchs.  Lenin realized it, but he was smarter and more dangerous than her.

In the end, a Socialist someone with plenipotentiary powers has to decide the answers to the basic livelihood questions: (1) What is to be produced?; (2) How is it to be produced?; and (3) Who’s to get it?  If you allow people to freely determine these matters, some will be better at it than others and get rich.  Can’t have that in Alexandra’s fantasy world.  Better we have equality and squalor than inequality and plenty in her twisted mind.

The wait in long lines outside a Soviet store, 1970’s.

Be prepared to be inundated with her inanities through a sycophantic media now that she’s moved her shtick to DC .  Not long after arriving, she presented her latest foray into nonsense, something dubbed the Green New Deal.  Don’t think for a moment the idea is original with her.  She latched onto buzz words circulating the lefty hive.

Not that the first New Deal edition was any great success.  A compressed summary of the 1930’s  would be as follows: (1) a depression beginning in ’29-’32; (2) the New Deal of intense government intervention, following Hoover’s,  inaugurated in ’33; (3) unemployment hovered between 33% to 14% throughout the 30’s; (4) industrial production similarly languished; (5) WWII was a recess with the depression getting set to resume after; and (6) a recovery finally took hold when Congress, starting in ’47,  dismantled much of the wartime/New Deal political and economic machinery.

U.S. unemployment in the 1930’s. Notice that the unemployment rate never gets below 12% throughout the 30’s.

It’s a history that won’t comport with AOC’s  clichéd version of it.  For people like her, the War ended the Great Depression.  Rubbish.  The War was the excuse to continue a steroid-induced version of the  New Deal.  The unemployment problem was cured by putting much of the workforce in uniform to kill Germans and Japanese and herding what’s left over into factories to arm those in uniform to kill Germans and Japanese.  Industrial production went up, but factories weren’t making cars and refrigerators for the average person to enjoy.  They made the stuff that was useful in killing Germans and Japanese, with much of it destroyed on the battlefield or at the bottom of the ocean.  What kind of “end” is it when unemployment is solved by making millions of soldiers – a good number of them killed or maimed – and a rekindling of industrial production that leads to shortages and rationing, a set of circumstances not much different from the years before?

Here’s an unsettling historical fact for Alexandra: the New Deal in one of its first incarnations, the National Industrial Recovery Act (NIRA), had a whiff of fascism about it.  It attempted to militarize the US economy as Mussolini did in Italy.  The taint isn’t surprising given the fact that Mussolini was lionized in the early 30’s for providing a hypothetical antidote to the failure of capitalism.  FDR and the National Recovery Administration’s  Hugh Johnson had kind words at the time for the tyrant.

Like Mussolini’s corporatism, the NIRA tried to concentrate all of economic life into 3 monolithic entities (government, business, labor) to set prices, wages, and production.  The thing floundered not only because of its inherent contradictions but also because it didn’t jibe with our Constitution.  The Supreme Court in 1935 put a stake through the monster’s heart when some Jewish butchers (the Schechters) challenged the National Recovery Administration’s attempt to fine and jail them for violating its ukases on chicken.  Is this what Alexandra means by a Green New Deal?  Her thoughts on the subject were likely shaped by the mental prison of people like Howard Zinn.

If the real New Deal, if she was aware of it, would be unnerving to AOC, wait till she finds out that the real recovery from the Great Depression occurred when the evil Republicans gained the majority in the 80th Congress (’47-’49) and began to dismantle a good portion of the administrative state and its nomenklatura.  Down came the War Production Board, the War Labor Board, and Office of Price Administration.  Government spending was slashed.  Maybe as many as a million civilian government workers had to get out of the business of telling others what to do and get real jobs.  After that, we had the 50’s boom.  Surely deregulation and smaller government can’t be what AOC is talking about, even though that’s what worked.

Bad Ideas Are Immortal 

Bad ideas are immune to death, mainly because a new generation of the gullible hears them for the first time and mistakes them once again for divine wisdom.  Absent are the reservations and the caution of maturing experience and a lifetime of study.  If you expect additional years in our bankrupt public schools to correct for the deficiency – K through grad school –  you’re a fool.  There, the mental bankruptcy will be reinforced, not cured.

Old lefty nostrums are recirculated and repackaged to the birdbrained innocent.  Every generation when young will be rich in the species.  For many in today’s youth cohort, the latest craze  in junk thought is the “Green New Deal”.  Nothing really new here that in many ways hadn’t already been touted by Eugene Debs, Gus Hall, Earl Browder, and the aforementioned SDS (Students for a Democratic Society) of 60’s radical-Left fame.  Most fundamentally, it’s a return of central planning.

Since central planning is key to the scheme, the Left’s latest rendition of the New Deal moniker isn’t much different from anything that hadn’t already come out of Gosplan, the Soviet Union’s economic planning agency, or Stalin’s notorious Five-Year Plans.  Only this one is in the service of international greenie fanatics, not the maniacs fighting some vague oppression of the international proletariat.

Step back, there’s elements of the latter in the former.  The similarities of Five-Year Plans and the Green New Deal make them near identical twins of the mind.  They are encrusted with lofty goals and then hemorrhage the spending and coercive means to achieve them.

But even prior to that, the plots hinge on a rigid conception of the world.  G.K. Chesterton called it “the clean well-lit prison of a single idea”.  It’s the notion that people need to be directed according to the likes of activists caught up in their own mental prison.  Their cognitive jail is the relentless pursuit of oppressors, many invented to justify the means to the desired end.  The would-be bogeymen are, for both Marxists and eco-zealots alike, capitalists or anyone who pursues a livelihood in ways the militants deem “selfish” or “greedy”.  Welcome to the mental detention center lying between the ears of Alexandra Ocasio Cortez and others with the same hangup.

Those who disagree are more than opponents.  They are “enemies of the people” to be vanquished.  This wafts with the odor of totalitarianism.  Their intense gaze isn’t just directed at what you do, but also in what you think and say.  In the jurisdictional hothouses where this mental smog reigns – California, New York, and Massachussets, are you listening? – the odor has gotten stronger as powerful mandarins seek to outlaw the speech of anyone who dares to disagree with the high priests of Climate Change.

They won’t be satisfied with the chump change of subsidies and test projects for their utopia.  They’re into lifestyle management.  You must live, think, and speak like them.  Already, the schools, with their lefty curriculum and lefty teacher training, and comrades in  big city media have become the boot camps for generating the latest version of Stalin’s Young Pioneers.  AOC would have fit in quite nicely.

Poster of Stalin and his youth corps, the Young Pioneers.
Young Pioneer walk during their school fest in Kemerovo, Eastern Siberia, 1981. The Young Pioneer Organization of the Soviet Union, also Vladimir Lenin All-Union Pioneer Organization was a mass youth organization of the USSR for children of age 10?15 in the Soviet Union between 1922 and 1991.

It’s so reminiscent of Stalin’s collectivization of farming, extensive network of eyes and secret police covering homes and workplaces, and internal passports, leaving aside the gulags where malcontents – real or imagined – were penned.  No wonder this is nothing but a prescription for producing refugees.

So, what’s in this latest edition of the 5-Year Plan … er, New Deal?  Some sense of it can be found in AOC’s draft request for a “Select Committee For A Green New Deal”. (5)  Here’s a taste:

  • A deadline of March 2020 for the House select committee to finish its Plan for a Green New Deal.
  • As in Stalin’s 5-Year Plan, you’ll find timelines/deadlines to achieve certain numerical goals.  For example, in 10 years after passage, 100% of electrical generation will be commanded from the greenie favorites:  wind, solar, biomass, etc.  100%!
  • A massive public works boondoggle to build the infrastructure to replace our current networks with one accommodating to the utopia.  One hasty calculation by someone in the know sets the cost at $2 trillion.  And I’m not taking into account the fact that much of the technology – such as storage – doesn’t even exist, and may not ever exist to any practical extent.
  • Mandates to meet the goals will fall upon businesses, farms, and homeowners.  There will be a colossal reordering of life to achieve the targets.
  • The socialist dream of wealth equality will be pursued through the Plan.  Lefty boilerplate like “just transition” [to the utopia] is scattered throughout.

What’s the upshot?  What does all this really mean for all Americans?  David Roberts in a sympathetic piece for Vox stated it quite clearly,

“… the GND is not just a climate change policy. It is a vision for a new kind of economy, built around a new set of social and economic relationships. It is not merely a way to reduce emissions, but also to ameliorate the other symptoms and dysfunctions of a late capitalist economy: growing inequality and concentration of power at the top.” (2)

The Green New Deal is a plot against the fundamental principles of our constitutional order and civilization.  It’s in the same vein as the grand pronouncements of the Marxist scolds of the past.  GND boosters are out to manufacture a new person for a new society.  What will happen to those who resist?  Well, coercion is absolutely essential or it won’t work – or, more accurately, it won’t work as the history of communism attests, but the utopian bullies won’t even get the chance if they don’t do some silencing.  Monkey wrenches will not be allowed on the path to their heaven/hell on earth.

The Teenager in Central Planning

Alexandra’s belief system is a product of profound immaturity of thought.  Her thinking is grounded only in Lefty boilerplate.  In many ways, she acts with all the excitement of a teenager who was introduced to some factoid for the first time but lacks the seasoned judgment to process it.  In a recent twitter storm with Republican Steve Scalise, the 29-year-old Alexandra tried to correct the 53-year-old Scalise by repeatedly instructing him on the meaning of “marginal tax rates”.   I think that everyone in the capitol knows term, but Alexandra acts as if she only became aware of the concept in the past few days.

She can find no fault in a marginal tax rate of 70% for the “wealthy” since she’s blind to the 60-year public debate on the matter.  Apparently, her economics education didn’t inform her of the dispute between Keynesian dogmatics and the free-market ideas of the Vienna School of Economics.  Hayek and Milton and Rose Friedman weren’t on her reading list.

As such, she’s probably not aware that she’s gearing up to imitate Joseph Stalin.  Because there’s not much rolling around in that head, the problems of our times seem so simple.  They always do for the young when there’s nothing else in the cranium to cause pause.  She’s the equivalent of a teenage central planner but is completely ignorant of the fact.

Alexandra Ocasio Cortez is proof that there is a place for people like her.  It just shouldn’t be in a room with adults.  She might be a great ASB president, but her flights of fancy disqualify her from babysitting.

RogerG

Bibliography and references:

  1. “Bernie Sanders traveled to communist Cuba and urges a ‘political revolution.’ Will exile Miami take him seriously?”, Patricia Mazzei, Miami Herald, 2/29/2016,  https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article62748002.html
  2. “The Green New Deal, explained”, David Roberts, Vox, 1/7/2019,  https://www.vox.com/energy-and-environment/2018/12/21/18144138/green-new-deal-alexandria-ocasio-cortez”
  3. The Great Depression Was Ended by the End of World War II, Not the Start of It”, Peter Ferrara, Forbes, 11/30/2013,   https://www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2013/11/30/the-great-depression-was-ended-by-the-end-of-world-war-ii-not-the-start-of-it/#2f706afb57d3
  4. “Hitler, Mussolini, Roosevelt”, David Boaz, Reason, October 2007,   https://www.cato.org/commentary/hitler-mussolini-roosevelt
  5.  Alexandra Ocasio Cortez’s draft proposal for a select committee on a Green New Deal, and the rationale, can be found here:  https://docs.google.com/document/d/1jxUzp9SZ6-VB-4wSm8sselVMsqWZrSrYpYC9slHKLzo/preview#heading=h.z7x8pz4dydey
  6. “Five things to know about Ocasio-Cortez’s ‘Green New Deal'”, Timothy Cama, The Hill, 11/24/2018,

Tax Drunkenness in the Golden State

How is it possible that California gave the country Ronald Reagan, especially seen from this point in time? In 2016, Hillary’s victory margin over Trump in California was 4.3 million votes. Her nationwide popular vote bested him by 2.9 million. That means she lost by 1.4 million everywhere else. California is to the Democrats what Saudi Arabia is to the oil market. California’s blue is darkening to black – and “black” as in black hole of intergalactic fame, not race. And that means an intoxication with taxes. All that government with its programs and fashionable crusades is expensive.

The blueness has tailed off into self-flagellation. California voters this year had the opportunity to free itself of its 12 cents/gal gas tax increase but Prop. 6 failed spectacularly (51-45 early in the count) . People in the state like their high taxes. Oh, I suppose at least partly, they see it as absolutely essential in saving the planet, even though the scheme was billed as a way to pay for roads and bridges that couldn’t be paid by the state’s other astronomically high taxes.

But I don’t see how California’s 36 million population will have much sway in lowering the planet’s temps when compared to 2 billion Chinese and Indians (the subcontinent variety). The denizens of the rest of the world now know that living in the dirt isn’t the only option. Their elevation out of the hut isn’t going to happen by forsaking carbon and living according to the precepts of Marin County “sustainability” … and Zambians know it. Don’t expect such inescapable logic to penetrate the state’s semi-literate hipsters and coastal fashionistas in their wine soirées.

Evidence of tax inebriation didn’t have to wait for the 2018 midterms and Prop 6. No sooner had the Republican House and Senate blasted their tax cuts to the president’s desk for his signature in 2018 than the suzerains of the state’s ruling party went into hyper-drive to undermine them even before Trump’s ink was dry.

Bills began popping up in the state’s legislature to stick it to “corporations”, the nomenclature of virtue-signaling for today’s hip lefties. The Dems’ Kevin McCarty boasted, “It’s time for middle class tax justice”. What does “middle class tax justice” look like? Well, it means to shaft California businesses with a jump in the corporate tax rate from 21 to 35 percent. The “middle class” shtick is more virtue-signaling to the state’s real overburdened and shrinking middle class – overburdened by the likes of McCarty and his colleagues.

Getting beyond the boilerplate rhetoric, though, it’s just plain ol’ vengeance for losing in 2016.

Now, what to do about the tax-cut bill’s undeniable justice in refusing to continue to force low-tax states to bail out high-tax states with a complete federal write-off of exorbitant state and local taxes, the “state and local tax deduction” (SALT)? The puppy love of tax-happy states for nearly everything government is the well-spring for ingenious ways to hide some of their grossest taxes in other deductible categories. That other tax-drunk jurisdiction – NY – wants to disguise them in the payroll tax. Gov. Brown and his fellow lefty bootleggers in Sacramento – I’m not kidding you – want to turn their taxes into charitable giving. Yeah, it’s called the California Excellence Fund. But there’s a problem with the ploy: the IRS code declares that the giver can’t benefit for it to be genuine charity. Oh well, back to the drawing boards.

As of April 9, 2018, $269 billion in new taxes were wafting through the California state legislature. And to top it off, the midterms ushered into power more tax-happy Dems. I’m beginning to wonder if many of the state’s voters should be tested for alcohol poisoning before entering the voting booth. This goes way beyond the .06 limit. What’s holding them up as they punch the ballot?

RogerG

Bibliography:

  1. “It’s Official: Clinton’s Popular Vote Win Came Entirely From California”, John Merline, Investor’s Business Daily, 12/16/2016,   https://www.investors.com/politics/commentary/its-official-clintons-popular-vote-win-came-entirely-from-california/
  2. “Election results 2018: Proposition 6 gas tax repeal crashes, burns [Updated]”, Adam Brinklow, Curbed: San Francisco, 11/7/2018,   https://sf.curbed.com/2018/11/7/18071282/election-night-2018-california-prop-6-gas-tax-repeal-rejected
  3. “High-Tax States Reach For Gimmicks”, Milton Ezrati, Forbes, 2/16/2018,   https://www.forbes.com/sites/miltonezrati/2018/02/16/high-tax-states-reach-for-gimmicks/#6fddec4185c5
  4. “$269 billion in new state taxes and fees proposed”, Dawn Hodson, Mountain Democrat, 4/9/2018,  https://www.mtdemocrat.com/news/269-billion-in-new-state-taxes-and-fees-proposed/
  5. “‘Time for middle class tax justice’: California corporate tax bill offsets Trump cuts”, Alexei Koseff, The Sacramento Bee, 1/18/2018,  https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article195434569.html
  6. “California Bills Acknowledge Federal Tax Changes, Don’t Conform”, Laura Mahoney, Bloomberg News, 5/4/2018,   https://www.bna.com/california-bills-acknowledge-n57982092512/

Going Pink in a Red State

The arbitrary red/blue designations of our election maps.
Going “red” in an antifa march at Berkley, Aug. 27, 2017.

By pink I mean a shade of red with red being the historical color of international socialism, not the confusing and arbitrary assignments in our election maps. Wherever an urban complex exists today, particularly one with a college, you could bet that the prevailing ethos takes a decidedly leftward lurch no matter its location. Going back to the bewildering nomenclature of our election maps, a collectivist “red” partisan can thrive in a conservative “red” state like Montana. Take the durability of “D” Jon Tester in “R” Montana for instance.

Sen. Jon Tester (D, Mt.)

The guy is poised on winning another 6-year lease in the Senate. How could it be possible? A bit of hocus pocus and the monolithic leftward lurch in the state’s urban areas is the magic elixir for success. The state won’t go full California but it could move that way incrementally.

Tester’s campaign managers (from the film “Hocus Pocus”).

You might say that Tester is a paler pink than Maxine Waters (D, Ca.), Nancy Pelosi (D, Ca.), or Kamala Harris (D, Ca.). He dilutes his pink with down-home earthiness. It’s smoke-and-mirrors. The gambit succeeds in Montana by pulling in enough rural to combine with the urban that he owns. It allows him to go NY/California on the big issues like Supreme Court nominations (“no” on Gorsuch, Kavanaugh), tax cuts (“no”), and be an enthusiast in gumming up the works.

And don’t dare dismiss compromises on gun rights since he frolics with people who would be gaga over the repeal of the Second Amendment.

So, Montana ends up with a Kamala Harris-best-buds-for-life all because he looks enough of the part to disguise his pinkish cavorting in the halls of Congress. It’s textbook on how to craft an airy persona for people who don’t have the time for the cable-tv fever swamp.

Matt Rosendale, Tester’s Republican challenger.

His opponent, Matt Rosendale, let him get away with it. Rosendale wasn’t on the air till long after Tester had him branded. So, a “red” state will have a senator on good relations with the “red” mob.

A more recent version of the “red” mob and Tester’s co-ideologists.

RogerG