A Tale of Two Articles

Lesson: Fashionable ideas frequently fall into the category of “too good to be true”.

Compare Amy Harder’s Axios piece from yesterday, “The key to unlocking wind and solar: Making it last”, and Michael Shellenberger’s Forbes article from 2018, “We Don’t Need Solar And Wind To Save The Climate — And It’s A Good Thing, Too”.  The former is a puff piece about another alleged “breakthrough” for solar and wind energy.  The latter is a healthy splash of cold water on the whole ploy.  In today’s media, almost anything chic among the beautiful people, popular with the rulers in deep blue states, championed in thousands of public service ads, and exalted in high school science fairs, should be taken with a ton of salt.

Here’s a few takeaways from the analysis:

* Solar and wind, especially solar, have always been on the cusp of the next will-o’-the-wisp big breakthrough since the 19th century.  Shellenberger recounts the history; Harder unwittingly provides another example.

* Solar and wind are expensive.  They sound like a great idea since the sun shines and the wind blows without our help.  Check out the electricity rates of countries who have bought into solar and wind.

* The environmental damage of wind and solar is immense.  They use up and mar vast tracts of the landscape, disrupt and threaten the natural flora and fauna, and the production of their devices begets toxic wastes and land scarring.

* Nuclear is an obvious alternative but gets no mention in the rush to the solar-and-wind utopia. It’s better, more efficient, more cost effective, produces no CO2, and recycles much of its waste.  What’s there not to like … if we can look away from the scowls of the beautiful people?

The China Syndrome (1979), directed by James Bridges. Shown from left: James Hampton, Jane Fonda, Michael Douglas.

The real world can’t be boiled down to Sierra Club talking points.  I wish that our media would stop repeating them and our kids weren’t taught the baloney.

RogerG

Economic Illiteracy, California Style

California State Senate, 2018

A Berkeley economist has got the “woke” doofuses running the California madhouse – aka state capitol – in a tizzy over the state’s high gas prices.  The number cruncher gave them an excuse for a pogrom [mass violence against a minority] against the oil industry in the state, shape-shifting blame from themselves to the buccaneers of capitalism.  Now that’s quite a trick.

Gasoline prices have jumped nearly 60 cents in the past month in Southern California. The average price of $4.30 for a gallon of self-serve regular in Los Angeles County Thursday is the highest in California. The statewide average is $4.20 a gallon. (ED JOYCE/KPCC)

Below is a map of current gas prices by county.  Notice the flaming red of California.

Let me count the ways that the screwballs – not Exxon/Mobil – have shafted the California motorist, starting with cap-and-trade.  Back in 2015, people knew that the thing would hike fuel prices 11-13 cents per gallon by its lonesome.  The dream was to dent global warming; the reality is to dent residents’ pocketbooks. (see here)

Let’s not forget that the state wacks each gallon of gas with a 41.7 cents/gal. levy – soon to rise to 43.7 cents.  Couple that with the 18.4 cents federal tax and a commuter starts right out of the gate with each squeeze of the pump handle over 61 cents in the hole, second highest in the nation.

California seems to be always red on these matters.  This map sets the combined gas tax burden in the state at almost 66 cents per gallon as of 2015:

It doesn’t stop there.  California demands boutique fuels: unique fuel blends just for the not-so-golden state.  In fuel-speak, it’s called CARBOB and according to experts, “CARBOB is even more expensive, and is the main reason why California gasoline prices are typically higher than anywhere else in the country.” (see here)

The result is a stunted and mangled market within the narrow confines of one state.  Those kind of markets don’t work very well.  You can’t impose some of the highest gas taxes, pursue the fantasy of counteracting China and India with California’s adherence to a cap-and-trade straitjacket, and play footsie with fuel blends and not get jacked at the pump.  Get real.

It’s simple economics, or – better yet – it’s simple math.  I guess it goes to the difference between knowing economics and math and actually believing in them.  Apparently, some people think that they can suspend the rules with no ill-effects.

How about a mandatory blood test for those folks in the clown car called the California State Legislature?

Shriner clowns or the California State Legislature in a parade?

RogerG

Hooray for Sen. Diane Feinstein … Kinda

I’m loathe to admit this, but a small dose of maturity was administered by the Senator to politicized youngins, a few older than 18 and most appear to be around 12 (watch the video below).  All mouthed lefty boilerplate in a visit to Feinstein’s office that couldn’t survive a serious high school debate.

It’s difficult to watch adults exploiting a group of tweens.  They were members of the Sunrise Movement whose purpose is to stampede the country into enacting the Green New Deal and its Soviet-style central planning by hiding behind kids.

The title’s “kinda” part has to do with appearances, which can be deceiving.  Today’s Democrats are in favor of more central planning. Yet, the presence of the Markey/Sanders/AOC Green New Deal makes the other Dems appear moderate.  The fact is, the whole party has lurched left, and to the left means in the direction of the Socialist International.  Some, like the Green New Deal sponsors, are just in a hurry to get there; others want to take a little longer and slower route to the same destination.

It’s much like the difference between the Mensheviks and Bolsheviks of days of yore.  They both wanted socialism.  It’s just that the M’s were content with a more peaceful march to utopia while the B’s wanted it now, preferably with guns.  The “M” and “B” thing is playing out in the office of Sen. Diane Feinstein and Democratic Party congressional caucus.  Do you want your socialism straight (Bernie/AOC style) or diluted (Feinstein style)?

RogerG

Rushing to Insanity

Mayor Eric Garcetti announces his intention that LA Department of Water and Power not replace three coastal gas-burning power plants but instead find a combination of renewable energy sources sufficient to take their place. (Sharon McNary/KPCC/LAist)

Today’s Democrats are like migratory birds.  They are hardwired to travel in certain directions.  For North American humming birds, it’s south; for Democrats, it’s left.  In other words, even if blindfolded, Dems migrate ever closer to Havanna — as a model of societal organization, that is.  Take for instance the rush to embrace the Green New Deal.  Take for instance the LA mayor’s drive to hobble power generation for the city by closing down 3 natural gas power plants and replacing them with the fairy tale of … full-on “sustainables” – i.e., wind and solar.  Get ready for more middle-class flight and rolling blackouts.

Here’s the story:   https://laist.com/2019/02/12/la_mayor_wants_to_shut_down_three_power_plants_in_favor_of_clean_energy_alternatives.php?fbclid=IwAR2rteqX3dw92uBjGzyibxVtf-YMXpq1DGFE6aPj6dHc2vEQUtDYgSBDAmk

The pic shows LA’s powerful and influential lining up like Canadian geese.  This certainly is a rush to the future … if your future has in store a lifetime lockup in a mental hospital.  Knowingly taking poison isn’t a sign of mental stability.

Watch out USA.  A Californian with presidential ambitions, Sen. Kamala Harris, wants to bring the California psychosis to a neighborhood near you.  If you’re poorly informed, just remember that a Californian with a “D” after their name is shorthand for a candidate’s toxicity.

RogerG

A Stunted Bullet

California governor Gavin Newsom announces the end of the high speed rail project, Feb. 12, 2019. (AP)

Is it a coincidence that the Green New Deal is all the rage as 43 states have legalized the relocation of dime bags of pot to the aspirin isle of the pharmacy, if not the produce section of the supermarket?  Our teenage central planner’s (Ocasio-Cortez) afterbirth – The Green New Deal – disappeared without a trace as people began to realize the insanity of reshaping our society according to the musings of sophomores in pot-smoke-filled dorm rooms.

The same fate awaited the LA-to-SF bullet train because the idea probably originated in the same dorm room.

What’s left is a rump.  Were the same young and addled geniuses responsible for a bullet train from … Bakersfield to Merced?  With the fiscal probity of drunken sailors, Californians showered $5.4 billion on the $100 billion psychedelic vision.  Virginia’s governor, Ralph Northam, showed the way out of the morass: allow it to be born – Bakersfield to Merced – and then abort it.  Gavin Newsom, California’s hair-gelled governor, played the role of Kermit Gosnell.

Good riddance.

RogerG

Bankruptcy Again in California

PG&E trucks sit on a roadside in Paradise, California on Jan. 22, 2019.

Here we go again. PG&E filed bankruptcy. The utility’s previous filing for insolvency was in 2001. The purported reason for this latest at-bat in Chapter 11 is the fear of lawsuits from devastating wildfires over the past few years (17 in 2017). Yes, the state has been burning up. A multi-year severe drought hasn’t helped. Exacerbating the problem is rural residents’ preference for suburbia in wildlands. The explosive nature of the fires is kindled by wild land management practices of an eco-crazed state government. In this maelstrom sits a huge uility. Greenie mandates on the utility industry run rampant which divert revenues from day-to-day maintenance and upgrades. With some of the highest utility rates known to man, it’s perplexing that the hardening of its infrastructure is woefully lacking. The whole situation screams of a collapse waiting to happen. Well, here we go again.

Please watch the Wall Street Journal video on the infrastructure shortcomings of the utility.

https://www.wsj.com/video/how-to-prevent-the-next-pge-disaster/4C757550-66B1-469C-8405-B39CF6F2A49F.html

RogerG

A President of/from/for … California

Sen. Kamala Harris, D-Calif., at a Dream Act rally in Irvine, California, on Oct. 11, 2017. (CNN)

I’m not sure if the prepositions “of” or “from” or “for” apply to the presidential candidacy of Kamala Harris.  One thing is certain though: she will take all that is California national.  What does that mean?  Let me list the ways.  Be prepared for far-reaching, zealous gun control; be prepared for a huge spike in energy costs; be prepared for open borders; be prepared for high taxes; be prepared for a mania of regulation; be prepared for more “free” stuff from the forced courtesy of the American taxpayer; be prepared for an enhanced campaign to ride religion out of the public square; be prepared for intensified gender confusion in public policy; be prepared for militant jihads against all sorts of “isms” and “phobias”; be prepared for the elevation of abortion to a civic sacrament; be prepared for the enactment of totalitarian environmentalism; and on, and on, and on, and on.  And I haven’t gotten to foreign policy.

Remember the personal assassination of Judge Kavanaugh. Harris led the mob.  This kind of behavior may be celebrated west of the Coast Range, but is it a role model for the rest of the country?  If it is proclaimed to be, it ought not be.  The video:

A vote for Kamala Harris is a vote for California as the new direction for the country.  If that’s your beau ideal, by all means, be my guest.  If so, one final (maybe 2) “be prepared”: be prepared for a new era of limits and your children not being able to leave home till 40.

RogerG

Techie Lefties

California’s hard left lurch is a matter of much discussion.  As a side-bar but related matter, there exists tech’s similarly hard left climate of opinion, much of it originated and housed in the state.  Tech’s leftist orientation was made glaringly obvious in a Stanford Graduate Business School study of December 2017.*  Next question: Does tech’s hard left lurch correspond to California’s transformation into a hard left bastion?

I’ll start off by saying, I don’t know. Correlation ain’t causation.
There’s no doubt, though, that tech is an overbearing piece of California’s fiscal and economic puzzle.  Has its prevailing ideological bearings bled into the state’s political bloodstream?  A connection can only be intimated, not necessarily proven.

The Stanford study makes clear that an incoherent blend of self-interest and lefty tropes blanket Silicon Valley and its offshoots like a thick layer of smog.  Techies overwhelmingly, almost militantly, stand four-square with the cultural left in the culture war. LGBTQ everything, multiculturalism, racial/ethnic/gender victimology, environmentalism, gun control, unrestrained abortion, a rejection of traditional institutions, open borders – the usual stuff of the left-wing orthodoxy – feature prominently.

All the while, techies don’t like anybody telling them what to do, especially the government.  Yet, government isn’t treated like Christianity, something for the unenlightened and hide-bound rubes.  While they don’t like regulation, they seem to be fully on-board with government-directed redistribution.  Is the inconsistency an attempt to paper over their guilt about their riches?  Could be.

Somehow their brains allow them to harbor “no government” alongside “lots of government”.  All the isms and assaults on traditional institutions, and the Robin Hood regime, mandates a whole lotta government.  I suppose that they want government to make everybody else live and believe like them.  At heart, then, this is Stalinism.

Some have attributed this motley collection of beliefs to the hippies of yore as there appears to be a line of mental and lifestyle, if not genealogical, descent.  The hippies were a mess, though.  Their hedonism and gross naivete about human nature gave us STD’s, a drug epidemic, and a new generation of Democratic Party activists.  Have the techies taken over where the hippies left off? Quite possibly.

The hippies of yore (1960’s).

Now we have the techie industry taking root throughout the country, and with it, implanting its mental smog and lifestyle.  In that sense, California is the future – a dystopian one.

RogerG

* The sources:
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/06/technology/silicon-valley-politics.html?fbclid=IwAR1kVh0oXukXJxvSR8XO88SJAqIHZRmZj8OzRrb5-ERZQrU-q6qvUnjn630

https://www.gsb.stanford.edu/faculty-research/working-papers/political-behavior-wealthy-americans-evidence-technology?fbclid=IwAR0n0px25Vc_mdi-m5CueF8EchRsFmS7jA6ZoNs3xh72LkKZStRHjJIC5eU

 

A Mao Approach to Energy

California has taken a page from Mao’s book of rule, wittingly or unwittingly.   On top of all the crony gimmies to solar, the state has ordered all new homes to have solar panels from 2020 on.

The brainchild of California’s eco-rulers.

Mao in his fevered imagination thought that he could order a massive increase in iron production by turning peasants into iron workers with their own “backyard smelters”.  In like manner, California’s “Great Helmsmen” have similarly declared every homeowner to be a rooftop electricity producer.  It all makes so much sense to the mandarins of the Party, Communist (China) or Democratic (Ca.).  Details be damned.

Mao’s brainchild of backyard smelters.

Such a detail as economies of scale hasn’t really graced their mind.  Instead, visions of millions backyard smelters, or rooftop solar panels, churning out iron, or electricity, excites their fancy.

California’s Great Leap Forward may end up like the last one: a disaster.  China’s iron production went up for a brief moment but many other things went down.  Ditto for California, just replace solar for iron. One of the things to go down will be home ownership.  In a state already suffering from over-inflated home prices, they will be jacked up by a further $8,400 on average.  That equates with pricing 444,385 families out of the market.

One of Mao’s consequences: famine.
One of the consequences of California’s eco-rulers: a rise in the homelessness and the under-housed.
This Tuesday, Jan. 26, 2016 file photo shows tents from a homeless encampment line a street in downtown Los Angeles.

Whether the number of the negatively impacted is accurate or not, it is an effort to quantify another economic fact of life: the margin.  The margin is the place of action in an economy.  It defines prosperity and depression by referring to people who are sensitive to price changes.  A rise in prices results in a slice of the buying public being cut out.

Want a home to raise your kids? Move to Texas.

It has always mesmerized me how a few hundred thousand rooftop solar panels are supposed to reverse the impact of China’s and India’s many huge dirty-coal plants.  Only in the eco-dreamland can solar’s capacity factor of 18% correct for the nearly 60% of coal-fired plants.  How’s that to happen?

Chinese workers commute as steam billows from a coal fired power plant in Shanxi, China. (Bloomberg)

Do we need any more proof that the term “well-managed” doesn’t apply to one-party states?

Please read the following sources:
https://thehill.com/…/387270-the-problem-with-california-go…
https://www.latimes.com/…/la-fi-solar-mandate-20181214-stor…
https://openei.org/wiki/Definition:Capacity_factor

RogerG

California as the Black Knight

Please watch the youtube video of Monty Python’s black knight at the bridge.

The black knight’s condition reminds me of California’s business sector.  A report by business relocation expert Joe Vranich says that 1,800 businesses have pulled up stakes and moved to other states, many to the Southwest, Northwest, and, of course, Texas.  There’s no reason not to expect the trend to continue.  What appears to be keeping the state afloat is LA digital media, Silicon Valley, and mostly foreign money.  Two of the three are linked and rise and fall together.  All are sensitive to the next downturn; and since the state’s economy is atrophying outside these economic islands, good luck. Good luck to all those people dependent on the state’s tax haul.

The state is downright hostile to business in all the well-known ways.  And if that ain’t bad enough, it relishes in creating catch-22’s for nearly anyone who has a payroll to meet.  The latest culprit is the recently passed California Immigrant Worker Protection Act.  This piece of identity pandering makes it illegal for a businessman to cooperate with ICE.  Of course, it’s a federal crime to not cooperate.  Vranich’s advice: Get Out!

Here’s the article: https://www.investors.com/…/california-companies-leave-tax…/ .

Venezuela was the first black knight at the bridge.  California has jumped in to take his place.  Go figure.

RogerG