Shameful Vance and Trump, Shameful

Trump Zelenskyy meet: what happened in those 10 tense minutes
Zelenskyy, Trump, Vance in a White Houe meeting, 2/28/2025

*Please read the prior post. It’s primer on this appalling scene in the White House today, written before this blowup. Don’t let Trump apologists explain away this shameful behavior on the part of our president and vice president.

Please watch the scene in the White House of today. It’s shocking behavior . . . on the part of Trump and Vance. Some will put the blame on Zelensky. It’s nonsense. Trump and Vance are not the adults in the room. The bullying of the leader of a country, that was mercilessly invaded, bombed, and raped, by two U.S. leaders who behaved more like thugs, shouting and interrupting the man, piles shame on our country. Putin is dancing a jig, as Brezhnev would have been if Reagan and Schultz had piled on Helmut Kohl, chancellor of Germany.

This is a disgrace by Trump and Vance. It needs to be called out as such. Shame on you, Trump and Vance. Americans should be appalled.

RogerG

The American Grievance Party on the Right

Trump’s Politics of Grievance - WSJ

Our president is not a grand thinker. He is, however, the head of a movement dominating the Republican Party. Its platform is grievance. Ironically, now, grievance has become the core of both the Right and the Left. For Trump and his MAGA, the rest of the world is screwing us. The outlook is mixed with some truths, a slew of exaggerations and falsehoods, and absent self-examination. The unintended aftershocks of this political rush could be an America increasingly without partners on our continent, in our hemisphere, and in Europe and Asia. Adjustments will be made by our former partners in the face of an increasingly erratic, unreliable, and at times hostile America, an America that cares a whole lot less about common interests with other nations. Do not expect this to end well.

Trump’s chief complaint is that America is not “Great” because we are patsies. Just Monday (2/24/2025), he stood before the press and announced his tariffs in a verbal cascade of victimhood (see #1),

“We’ve been mistreated badly by many countries . . . . We were taken advantage of. We were led by, in some cases, fools, because anybody that would sign documents like they signed, where they were able to take advantage of the American people, which happened over the last long period of time, except for a little four-year period that took place four years ago. But anybody that would agree to allow this to happen to our country should be ashamed of themselves.”

Per Trump, shame on you, Americans, for preferring Toyotas to Chevies.

Toyota global market share

His incoherence is glaring when he talks about the glories of tariffs. But what is foreign trade, the thing to be tariffed, taxed? It is an exchange of a foreign producer’s goods and services for a country’s currency (paper). So, a U.S. trade deficit is our possession of their valuable things, and their accumulation of our paper. Conversely, as Trump seems to prefer, a surplus is our reverse accumulation of their paper in return for our valuable things. At root, Trump’s talk is nonsense, but it is soothing syrup to a crowd addled by a sense of victimhood.

Though, his tariffs – for Trump, “the most beautiful word in the dictionary” – will torpedo his campaign promise to reduce inflation. Any tax hikes, like tariffs on business, any business, foreign and domestic, passes through to the consumer. It works like this: raise taxes (like tariffs), increase business costs, raise prices, reduce consumption and production. A bad deal all around. The price floor rises for all goods and services, both foreign and domestic. So much for “the most beautiful word in the dictionary”. So much for ending inflation.

A better understanding of trade would be helpful. The flow of goods and currencies passes through a foreign trade infrastructure. GATT (General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade), currency foreign exchange agreements (FEA), and the adjudication of FEA disputes in the Convention on the Recognition and Enforcement of Foreign Arbitral Awards (New York Convention) work to ease the flow of trade so the foreign paper (currency) can be made valuable to its possessor. In other words, a trade deficit (more goods, less paper) or surplus (more paper, less goods) or “balance” (the value of the paper and goods in equal measure) is not as important as Trump thinks. But the superficial language of trade, absent clarifications, lends itself to demagoguery.

Admittedly, the trade numbers are relevant for national security, social, and political reasons. By themselves, they are more than sufficient to support more domestic production of physical goods. But why aren’t we more of a manufacturing powerhouse? Certainly, we came to face renewed competition from our formerly WWII-ravaged economic rivals.

The resulting challenge exposed our self-inflicted inefficiencies, thus the need for some self-examination; something buried in the rhetoric. Our appetite for New Deal tax and regulatory schemes, and bloated business bureaucracies, proved to be a hindrance under competitive pressures. Furthermore, we exposed our manufacturing to the vast expansion of the regulatory straitjacket in the 1970s due to manufacturing’s many impacts on the natural environment. Land use controls, the expansion of the eco-superstate, their spread and expansion at all levels of government, and a labyrinth of empowered NIMBYs, mandates, permits, and hearings wreaked carnage on the sector.

Abandoned factory.
(Image credit: Rick Gershon/Getty Images)

The air in the LA basin is cleaner due to the subsequent flight of physical production. They continue to flee. California declared war on affordable energy and the Philips/Conoco refinery in Wilmington is closing, the latest manufacturer to skedaddle the hyper eco-state. Much of the Chevron complex now resides in Houston. Adjacently, the regulatory war on housing will make the rebuild of Pacific Palisades, Malibu, and Altadena a nightmare. Cleaner air (except for the fires), combustible landscapes, Hiroshima devastation, and bankrupting energy are the new realities of the eco-Leviathan.

Manufacturing – the physical production of any kind – began a slide into the snake pit of our predatory unions, litigious culture, voracious “civil rights” lobbies, and taxes, more taxes, regulation, and more regulation. The split between the permission economy (physical production, manufacturing, construction, timber harvesting, et al) vs. permissionless economy (initially small-scale innovation that becomes capitalized into Apple, Google, Microsoft, Intel, Nividia, et al) is the main feature of this new hyper-regulated economy (see #2). Traditional manufacturing is relegated to being the red-headed stepchild.

The Industrialist | Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh pa, Steel
Jones and Laughlin Steel Pittsburgh, 1950s
Googleplex - Google Headquarters in California
The Googleplex, Mountain View, Ca.
A decade after the Richmond refinery explosion, protesters march to end fossil fuel dependence
Climate activists protest the Richmond refinery in California, 2017

Without addressing this problem, Trump’s tariffs are foolhardy. They will jack up prices, raise the cost of business inputs, threaten employment, and pull the only available ladder out of the snake pit that America has made of itself. American economic activity, and particularly manufacturing, cries out to be something other than survival in a snake pit.

DJT should address the pit before he tries to sell the narcotic of tariffs to the public. If not, trade relations will be disrupted as our friends scramble to protect themselves and their nascent industries. New trade arrangements will arise with America seen as just another economic belligerent.

To make the tariff scheme palatable to the public, the jargon of “reciprocity” is employed to hide the real purpose of tariffs. The prime directive of tariffs is to punish domestic consumers for preferring a foreign-made product. I am skeptical of their use as a bargaining chip since the tariff prime directive remains, even if reciprocity agreements are temporarily achieved. The political pressure by the snakes in our pit will make a hash of the “reciprocity”.

What Trump is doing to international trade, he promises for our foreign policy. Already, an undertow of cynicism infects our relationship with our allies (see #4). Trump sees our national security as another arena to apply the same approach as he would with a supplier of pipe. For instance, Trump has introduced a cushy deal for rare earths as a part of a survival package for Ukraine. To him, it is like demanding from the supplier the free gratis addition of brass fittings to the order. Trump has made extortion an element for a relationship with the United States.

For Trump, it is not enough to stand athwart a thug’s subjugation of another country on a continent already made jittery by two previous 20th-century world wars totaling over 100 million deaths and the USSR enslavement over half of it. Not surprisingly, eyebrows are raised in European capitals by Trump’s Belgian Congo-style treatment of Ukraine. Trump’s America comes close to being the reincarnation of the British East India Company.

It is not as if Ukraine has a realistic alternative to Trump’s USA. The situation has a key role to play in Trump’s Art of the Deal for international affairs. If you are dependent on him, you are at his mercy. It results in the odd abuse of friends with whom he can control, and odd praise of enemies with whom he does not. Trump recently declared that Putin is smart and strong and Zelensky is a dictator (I kid you not) and stands accused of starting the war (I kid you not). He gets away with it because he has leverage on Zelensky that he does not have on Putin, thus the pandering to a thug and the defamation of Zelensky. It is negotiations by shakedown in threats, insults, and extortion. For Trump, it must be like extracting concessions out of his favorite pipe supplier. The unrestrained nature of international affairs presents a playground for Trump’s baser instincts.

Trump’s Ukraine/Putin stage act reminds our friends and allies of the danger of getting too close to America. Post-WWII, South Vietnam’s existence was placed at the mercy of American domestic politics and resulted in the collapse of South Vietnam and the rest of Southeast Asia. Leaping forward to 2020, American domestic politics reared its ugly head over Afghanistan with the rise of Trump and his subsequent Doha Accords with the Taliban. Trump and his people repeated the Nixon/Kissinger tactic of negotiating the future of our friend and ally without them being in the room. Timetables for an American withdrawal were set only to be inflamed by more American domestic politics with calamitous effects for Afghans. Afghanistan descended into a dark age at our bidding.

40 years ago: The fall of Saigon
The fall of Saigon, 1975, and evacuations from the roof of the American embassy.
Trump officials back away from 2020 Taliban peace deal after withdrawal chaos
Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo meeting with Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar, now the Taliban’s de facto political leader, in Doha, Qatar, in September 2020. (Photo: U.S. Department of State/Handout/Anadolu Agency via Getty Images)
Why experts say the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan didn't have to lead to chaos | CBC News
Thousands of people are trying to flee Afghanistan as the Taliban strengthens its grip on the country. Some people chased a U.S. air force plane down the tarmac, while others tried to force their way onto planes at the Kabul airport. (photo: screen shot, Axios)

Can you blame any potential international partner for wariness in getting too close to the USA? They have alternatives. They could cut their own deals with our common enemies turning America First into America Alone. Appeasement might sound more appealing than laying yourself open to America First and an insane Democratic Party.

They could expand their defense capabilities and magnify their efforts in coalitions without a troublesome USA. Trump’s America First becomes America Problematic. Such arrangements will not have our interests at heart. America First, now known as America Alone, will be an unreliable, isolated nation with an expanded dependence on an even greater military buildup than is possible given our current domestic politics. Are you prepared to slash entitlements? Our crazy Democrats went bonkers over George W. Bush’s 2005 nibbling at Social Security’s edges (see #3). What makes you think that Democrats would not seek to ride the hysteria to more political fame and fortune this time around? Bottom line, America Alone becomes America Weaker.

This is our “master of 4-D chess” at work. We are not prepared for the consequences. The “most beautiful word in the dictionary” only disguises our deep-seated economic problems. America First will cause our friends to run for the exits. Any “peace” deal over Ukraine will come at the expense of more screw-tightening on the victim. America needs to address what we have done to ourselves before we scapegoat our friends and allies. Welcome to the world of America First.

The rabble-rousing has the advantage of feeding popular prejudices. Grievance has proven to be a political winner. The Right has discovered its inner victim in the same manner as the Left for over a century. The world should be leery of an America united in grievance.

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RogerG

Sources:

1. “Trump: ‘Tariffs Are Going Forward On Time, ‘We’ve Been ‘Led By Fools”, Tim Hains, Real Clear Politics, 2/24/2025, at https://www.realclearpolitics.com/video/2025/02/24/trump_tariffs_are_going_forward_on_time_weve_been_led_by_fools.html
2. “The Future of Innovation in the United States: Permissionless or Regulated?”, Mohamed Mutii, Econlib, 10/14/2023, at https://www.econlib.org/the-future-of-innovation-in-the-united-states-permissionless-or-regulated/
3. “How George W. Bush Lost Personal Accounts For Social Security”, Peter Ferrera, Forbes, 4/7/2011, at https://www.forbes.com/sites/peterferrara/2011/04/07/how-george-w-bush-lost-personal-accounts-for-social-security/
4. For an American public uninterested in the foreign discussion about America, tune into this podcast, “Can German centrists keep ignoring the hard right AfD?”, The Daily Telegraph, 2/24/2025, at https://youtu.be/LiLEeFlbfHk?si=eOveyaQX98wuaumb . It covers more than the results of the German election. Toward the end of the interview, a major German parliamentary leader expresses major skepticism of a Trump-led America.

Trump’s Facade

PolitiFact: Donald Trump exaggerates U.S. energy independence

No, I’m not schizophrenic in praising President Trump in one post and criticizing him in another. I compliment him when it’s possible, but can’t in good conscience when it’s impossible.

By now, we should have grown accustomed to the erection of façades around our leaders. Today, it seems more necessary than ever. A veil, an army of handlers and eager media apologists, and a well-staffed cleanup department is erected to shield the public from the reality. Sounds like Biden. I’m convinced Biden’s basement campaign of 2020 had much to do with his mental and physical frailty. After four years, it metastasized and the shield became a howler of lies, clear to anyone with functioning eyes and ears.

Come to think of it, Trump has a façade mostly created for him by his supporters. They have to make sense of his ad hoc, ad hominem, episodic, and rambling pronouncements. His boosters ignore the simple prospect that he is exactly what we see: impulsive and not particularly enlightened, nor well-disposed to deliberate and deep thought – mental qualities harmful to strategy. In attempting to make sense of the verbal bursts, apologists augur, like a shaman reading bones, a coherence that doesn’t exist.

A person’s cranium is not transparent. “The cleanup on aisle 9” brigades among Trump’s people jump into action with some form of “he’s playing 4-D chess”. The assertion is unprovable, and not open to inductive reasoning any more than an insistence on reincarnation. Upon hearing the divination, the rest of the Trump fans resound in a chorus, “That’s it!”

It’s comical. Many on the formerly sensible Right twist themselves in knots to make sense of the jumble. Case in point, Hugh Hewitt. A normally calm and reasonable person with a distinguished professional and academic pedigree, he has contorted himself into an enthusiastic Trump apologist, another diviner of the Trump brain. Hewitt regularly proclaims Trump to be a masterful, Machiavellian negotiator on the basis of nothing more than the equivalent of speculation, hopes, and prayers.

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Hugh Hewitt at the mic of his radio show.

As a regular Hewitt listener, I’ve noticed his metamorphosis from conservatism to Trumpism, which is a political cult with conservative tics alongside erratic impulses, many far from conservative. Hewitt steps in to impose some artificial comprehensibility to Trump’s mess. Last week, Trump puts his foot in his mouth in blasting the leader of the side that we should want to win in Ukraine while lavishing praise on a widely recognized goon, an obvious enemy in search of his own Lebensraum. Putin is only “smart” – using Trump’s word – if he’s got the guns and the FSB. “Smart” is the wrong word. Putin is a gangster. Maybe “smart gangster” works.

Hewitt’s response is to join Trump’s smear campaign against Zelensky in a desperate reach for a rationalization. He dredges up Zelensky’s 2024 U.S. visit and talks with our then-president, and Zelensky’s heated retort after Trump’s slander of him as a “dictator”. Imagine that, a repartee to a personal insult. How dare Zelensky? It’s Zelensky’s fault. Right?

Hewitt has to find some rationalization for what any sensible person would understand to be intemperate Trump remarks against our national interests. The U.S. national interest is not served by Putin’s conquests on the continent of Europe, end of story. Hewitt can’t wrap his mind around Trump ranking our national interests below his personal grudges.

One should not expect the general public to be better informed than our leaders. It could be assumed that he must be more knowledgeable, he’s president, but behaves like he isn’t – or maybe he doesn’t care. It’s equally possible that impulse control is lacking.

History is studied for what it says about human nature. Not by Trump; he doesn’t read. For people like Hewitt, they cherry-pick their evidence to match their predispositions. Hewitt is fond of reminding us of “shuttle diplomacy” to characterize Trump’s peace mission for the Ukraine War, with a comparison to the shuttle diplomacy of Kissinger in the 1970s. True, that was shuttle diplomacy, but so was Neville Chamberlain’s in 1938 to achieve peace between Hitler and Edvard Beneš, president of Czechoslovakia. The fall of Czechoslovakia and invasion of Poland soon followed. This is more than a historical cliché.

The similarities are greater with this one than Kissinger bouncing between Egypt’s Anwar Sadat and Israel’s Golda Meir. Putin is convinced of Russia’s fate to reconstitute the Soviet empire. Hitler was similarly convinced of his Lebensraum (German expansion for “living space”). The German Wehrmacht was just more successful than Putin’s cronies.

Thus, since we can’t rely on our leaders to be devotees of history, we must inform ourselves. After all, this is a citizen republic. It will require some time and effort on our part. Don’t expect it from Trump and his apologia chorus. The internet can be a wonderful thing, and on it one can find “The Rest is History” podcast with historians Tom Holland and Dominic Sandbrook. It is available wherever you get your podcasts: YouTube, Apple, Spotify, etc. I chose Spotify. Best of all, it’s free!

You can also go to https://therestishistory.com, or setup an account at spotify.com, for instance, and tune into episodes #528 through #532, each one about an hour long, and will carry you from the 1938 Munich agreement to the fall of Poland. This is a quick and easy way to be more enlightened than either Trump or his apologists. As you watch and listen, think of all that you’ve come to know about the Ukraine War. The parallels are stunning.

The Rest is History podcast hosts Tom Holland and Dominic Sandbrook on Captain Cook ...

Good luck in this era of facades.

RogerG

This Is Why I Voted for Trump

Trump, Maine’s Gov. Mills spar over transgender athletes – NBC Connecticut
Pres. Trump and Maine Gov. Mills at the White House, 2/21/2025

Trump is our era’s Neville Chamberlain, the British prime minister who led the effort to desert Czechoslovakia in 1938. His impulsiveness and tendency to hitch national policy to personal grudges are deeply troubling.

But the Democrats are worse. They’re crazy. They are cultural revolutionaries on a mission to force us to conform to their conceptions of the “better man [or woman, or whatever] for the better world [?]”. They refuse to define “man” or “woman”, for instance, as one part of their goal to eliminate all distinctions (look up “nihilism”) so as to create new ones of their own fancy. Consequently, women are frozen out of award ceremonies to men who imagine themselves to be women. It’s kooky beyond belief.

It’s also not surprising that it doesn’t much work the other way: a XX man robbing XY men of their track and field medals. Trump, and anyone still rooted in reality, knows this, and he’s willing to say so. Yesterday, at a meeting of governors at the White House, he confronted Maine’s Governor Janet Mills (D). Watch the clip below.

Brutal, blunt, but not wholly undeserved. Gov. Mills’s feelings are of minor concern when compared to the dashed dreams of hundreds, if not thousands, of girls – real XX girls. Their ambitions are quashed by a XY girl who just yesterday was considered a boy. Go get ‘em Trump, and every blue-state satrap that has engaged in this grotesqueness.

Watch it here:

RogerG

Divining the Mind of Trump: Where Did He Get That $350 billion Figure in Ukraine Aid?

Jim Acosta: President Trump is seizing on these Zelensky comments - CNN Video
Trump and Zelenskyy (r)
A service member in uniform stands next to pallets of military cargo.
An airman attached to the 436th Aerial Port Squadron loads cargo during a Ukraine security assistance mission at Dover Air Force Base, Del., Jan. 13, 2023. (photo: DOD)

During the scare over secondhand smoke, and the flurry of smoking bans in public spaces, 60,000 annual deaths from it was frequently cited. Actually, numbers varied from 20,000 to 120,000. When it came down to it, they were numbers pulled out of a hat. Once repeated, they had a life of their own. President Trump does it too.

In yesterday’s Truth Social post, Trump blithely threw out $350 billion in aid to Ukraine. Where did the number come from? Further, where’s the source for “half of the money we sent him is ‘MISSING’”? Not the Inspector General for Ukraine Aid, not the Center for Strategic and International Studies (see #2), not the Kiel Institute which studies international aid to Ukraine. You might counter that he’s president and therefore he must know. That’s not proof; that’s an act of faith.

Going back to the U.S. inspector general of “Ukraine Oversight”, $183 billion was promised and $86.7 billion delivered (see #3). The denizens of the far-Right fever swamps have mentioned $100 billion “missing”, stolen, wasted. Applying the two known numbers, ones that can be sourced, the $100 billion is roughly the difference between what was promised and given. If true, possibly, $100 billion is “missing” because it was never delivered.

President Zelensky in an AP interview of early February cited $177 billion earmarked by the U.S. but only $75 billion sent (see #4). These might be the numbers used in a Kiel Institute study (see #5). The point is that these numbers can be sourced. Where did President Trump’s numbers originate? No source is available, leaving one to entertain the option of them bursting from DJT’s imagination, a frequent occurrence.

I suspect that the press gaggle comment from Tuesday – “You should have never started it” – and the Truth Social rant of Wednesday are connected. In the one, President Trump put his foot in his mouth, up to the ankle, and halfway down the throat. Then, he tried to repair the damage by bloviating with more inanities.

Trump doesn’t understand the first rule of holes. Stop digging!

 

RogerGMay be an illustration of text

Sources:

1. Thanks to Jim Geraghty for the numbers and sources at “Get Ukraine into the European Union”, National Review, 2/21/2025, at https://www.nationalreview.com/the-morning-jolt/get-ukraine-into-the-european-union/?utm_source=recirc-desktop&utm_medium=homepage&utm_campaign=hero&utm_content=related&utm_term=first
2. “Where Is the Missing $100 Billion in U.S. Aid for Ukraine?”, Mark F. Cancian, CSIS, 2/11/2025, at https://www.csis.org/analysis/where-missing-100-billion-us-aid-ukraine
3. “Funding”, Ukraine Oversight: Special Inspector General for Operation Atlantic Resolve, Promoting Whole of Government Oversight of the U.S. Ukraine Response; at https://www.ukraineoversight.gov/Funding/#:~:text=Fiscal%20Year%20(FY)%202022%2D,obligated%20and%20%2486.7%20billion%20disbursed.
4. AP interview of President Zelensky, “Zelenskyy: Ukraine received US$76 billion out of US$177 billion approved by America”, 2/2/2025, Reddit, at https://www.reddit.com/r/europe/comments/1igjyyl/zelenskyy_ukraine_received_us76_billion_out_of/
5. “Ukraine Support Tracker Data”, Antezza, A., et al, Kiel Institute for the World Economy, 2/20/2025, at https://www.ifw-kiel.de/publications/ukraine-support-tracker-data-20758/

Trump Is Not God’s Avatar. He’s Proving It!

 

Trump’s unhinged performances thrill die-hards – but can’t win him another election

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Vladimir Putin

Donald Trump is proof that no person is deserving of worship.  Sooner or later, given enough time and opportunity, we’ll step in it.  Trump is no different.  The guy must have slept during his high school History classes.  College wasn’t any better for him.  Read this screed on Truth Social about Ukraine’s Zelenksyy.  It’s mind-bogglingly stupid.

“Think of it, a modestly successful comedian, Volodymyr Zelenskyy, talked the United States of America into spending $350 Billion Dollars, to go into a War that couldn’t be won, that never had to start, but a War that he, without the U.S. and ‘TRUMP,’ will never be able to settle.  The United States has spent $200 Billion Dollars more than Europe, and Europe’s money is guaranteed, while the United States will get nothing back.  Why didn’t Sleepy Joe Biden demand Equalization, in that this War is far more important to Europe than it is to us — We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation.  On top of this, Zelenskyy admits that half of the money we sent him is ‘MISSING.’  He refuses to have Elections, is very low in Ukrainian Polls, and the only thing he was good at was playing Biden “like a fiddle.”  A Dictator without Elections, Zelenskyy better move fast or he is not going to have a Country left.  In the meantime, we are successfully negotiating an end to the War with Russia, something all admit only “TRUMP,” and the Trump Administration, can do.  Biden never tried, Europe has failed to bring Peace, and Zelenskyy probably wants to keep the “gravy train” going.  I love Ukraine, but Zelenskyy has done a terrible job, his Country is shattered, and MILLIONS have unnecessarily died – And so it continues…..”

Trump is showing that Zelensky isn’t the problem.  He is!  For Trump enthusiasts, drop the cultic priestly vestments and get off your knees on your prayer rugs long enough to parse the words of a nincompoop.  And to think that this guy is the leader of the Free World.  Amazing.

Sentence #1 is incoherent, the rantings of adolescent rationalizations.  Is this genius making the case that the $350 billion should never have been spent, or that the war never had to start?  Yeah, it wouldn’t have started if Putin hadn’t invaded, and without American support naked aggression would have been rewarded.  Strip away the crass, ego-inflating bloviation about himself being the block to all bad things in the world, and what remains is the reality after his loss in the 2020 election.  It’s 2025, not January 2021. Now, what are you going to do?  Sell out the victim?

Sentence #2 is more evidence of an all-too-human businessman rampaging way outside his lane.  This blinkered person behind the Resolute desk reduced all thought and considerations in foreign relations to dollars and cents.  It’s the only thing he understands, or thinks he understands.  By his convoluted logic, we would have remained a part of the British empire; the South would be represented in the UN as the CSA; a good portion of France, Belgium, and Russia would be part of the German Empire under the Hohenzollerns; and much of Europe and Asia would be Axis satraps.  Geostrategy is reduced to an accounting ledger.  It’s stupid beyond belief.

Sentence #3 is more pablum.  The idiocy is crowned with “Equalization” and “a beautiful Ocean as separation”.  Yeah, Europe should pay more, but that’s not as if we shouldn’t pay anything.  And that’s not to mean that Europe hasn’t contributed anything – $120 billion from 2022 to 2024 (see #1).  Besides, are we going to lead as the USA or hide behind an ocean?  Jihadi goat-herders with box cutters on 9/11 proved that an ocean is only a geographical feature to be crossed to get at the Great Satan.  DJT, this is not the age of sail anymore.

Sentence #4 is proof that Ukraine is as flawed as DJT during his bankruptcies, or DOGE is discovering that we are.  But we shouldn’t let the perfect be the enemy of the good.  Account for the aid, and keep it flowing.  Don’t use it as an excuse to reward a thug.

Sentences #5 and #6 are evidence of Trump showing his capacity to fill the shoes of Izvestia, the newspaper organ of the old Supreme Soviet.  They promiscuously applied “dictator” to Thatcher and Reagan.  Trump repeats the same style of slander.  Trump has lost his mind.  Zelensky is more answerable to an electorate than Putin.  Putin offs his opponents, both inside and outside Russia.  From the streets of London to the presidential residence in Kyiv to outside the Kremlin, he has horrifically poisoned, disfigured, and assassinated opposition.  The list is growing.  Those surviving disappear in a reconstituted Gulag Archipelago.  Trump adds his name to the long list of dictator-lovers going back to the Stalin-apologists of yesteryear.  It’s as shameful today as it was then.

The rest is an embarrassment to adult reasoning.  “I love Ukraine”, but only if it surrenders to Putin.  You see, following the Trump thought-stream, Ukraine is ravaged by . . . Zelensky, by Ukraine itself, not Putin.  In Trump’s twisted brain, Zelensky should have surrendered earlier.  Thus, it’s his fault.  A thug that invaded the country across three fronts without warning or provocation, in a typically mismanaged Russian blitzkrieg, is not to blame.  The thinking provokes disbelief. And he is our president.  Whew, what a mess.

There is a crazy Right, and Trump is their messiah.  He is deified.  Everything he says and writes is worshipped as holy script.  I’m surprised that they aren’t printed in red.  Watch as longstanding pundits of the Right eat their past words.  Watch as they morph from Kremlin skeptics to Putin apologists in the span of a short decade, because their god says so.

One question for Hugh Hewitt: What happened to Mike Pompeo?  He’s gone into your memory hole.  At one time praised to high heaven; now, nothing.  He seems to have descended into nothingness like Bill Barr, John Bolton, and anyone who will not make the appropriate sacrifices at the altar.

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Hugh Hewitt at the mic of his radio show.

Please, people on the Right, get off your prayer rugs long enough to notice that your Prophet wears no clothes.  Reality is uglier than your illusions.

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RogerG

Sources:

1. An assessment of European contributions to the defense of Ukraine can be found at “Ranking of European countries by aid provided to Ukraine between January 2022 and August 2024, by type of aid”, Statista, 10/29/2024, at https://www.statista.com/statistics/1499394/european-aid-to-ukraine-by-country/

Resuscitating Munich in The Art of the Deal

British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain (left) and German Fuehrer Adolf Hitler shake hands in this composite photograph at the 1938 Munich Conference in which Chamberlain agreed to allow Nazi Germany to annex the Sudetenland
British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain (left) and German Fuehrer Adolf Hitler shake hands in this composite photograph at the 1938 Munich Conference in which Chamberlain agreed to allow Nazi Germany to annex the Sudetenland. (photo: The Daily Mail)
Trump and Putin shook hands Friday at the APEC gala dinner too, while both were wearing the now-traditional strange shirts that mark the annual meeting
Presidents Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin shake hands at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation leaders’ summit in Da Nang, Vietnam, 2017.

The prophet Jeremiah warned the people of Jerusalem of their impending doom, and included an admonishment that rings through the ages.

“From the least to the greatest,
All [people of Jerusalem] are greedy for gain;
prophets and priests alike,
all practice deceit.
They dress the wound of my people
as though it were not serious.
‘Peace, peace,’ they say,
when there is no peace.”
(Jeremiah 6:13-14)

Then, here’s President Trump at Mar-A-Lago on Tuesday (2/18): “Today I heard [from Ukraine], ‘Oh, well, we weren’t invited.’  Well, you’ve been there for three years.  You should have never started it.  You could have made a deal.” (See #1)  “You should have never started it.”  What?!!  A slip of the tongue?  I didn’t realize that it was Ukraine that invaded Russia.  The inverted logic is absolutely dumfounding, stunning.

It’s the logic of a businessman, not a statesman, who is practiced at cutting deals in the good ol’ USA, in the protective cradle of our rule of law.  Deals in business frequently aren’t moral matters.  Both sides make proposals and meet in the middle.  In the arena of international relations, there is no rule of law, despite what Geneva and the ICC have to say about it.  So, President Trump treats the bloody aggressor as the moral equivalent of the bloodied victim. It’s beyond foolish; it’s stupid; it’s dangerous.

“‘Peace, peace,’ they say, when there is no peace.”  Is a real and enduring peace a possibility under this mental deformity?  “Peace” becomes the pause between the hungry wolf and the sheep with nowhere to run.

Peace, at this juncture, occurs without moral judgment.  “Peace” merely becomes the bridge of moral equivalence between evil and innocence.  The wolf is still hungry.  Into the fray of the Ukraine War has entered President Trump and his people.  Shuttle diplomacy is commencing between the wolf and his dinner.  Separate meetings with Putin’s people are taking place in Saudi Arabia, then the scene will shift to Ukraine’s Zelensky.  Trump’s negotiators are the “honest broker” between the wolf and his victim.  This isn’t the first time for these purveyors of a morally monstrous “peace”.  History lends many examples, and the results are disturbing, as usual.

It’s the kind of “peace” strictly defined as an absence of war, till the next time. Appeasement is the means to achieve a “peace” that does not deter, that does not matter.  It was tried numerous times in the ancient world, such as during the campaign of Philip II of Macedon to unite the Greece under his rule (in the 350s to 330s BC), much like Putin’s ambition to reconstitute the Soviet empire.  After the Battle of Crocus Field (352 BC), Athenians negotiated the Peace of Philocrates with Philip which made Athens a Macedonian ally and relinquished territory to him.  The “peace” ended in 338 BC in the last-ditch Battle of Chaeronea and Philip’s final subjugation of Greece.

Moving forward in time to the late 20th century, a form of appeasement with no real “peace” came out of the Vietnam War’s Paris Peace Accords of January 1973, negotiated by Nixon and Kissinger.  The result was a withdrawal of U.S. forces without a commensurate one for North Vietnamese forces in the South.  Within two years, the communist North conquered the South and the red flag of the hammer and sickle flew over Southeast Asia.

The approach of Nixon and Kissinger in 1973 is eerily similar to Trump’s.  In Trump’s Doha Accords of 2020 with the Taliban, the Afghan government had no direct involvement.  Nixon and Kissinger were agreeable to freezing South Vietnam out of the talks as were Trump’s people the Afghan government.  In both cases, the victims were “consulted”, and they even protested, but the U.S. decided their fate in isolated talks with their enemies.  The U.S. agreed to a withdrawal from Afghanistan of our and NATO forces as well as restrictions on air strikes in support of our Afghan allies.  In an Afghan army trained in the tactics of American combined arms, the hampering of air support would prove dispiriting and catastrophic.

Trump gave us the opportunity to relive ’75 Saigon.  Biden carried it out, only this time it was Kabul.  Biden crammed down Afghan throats Trump’s Peace of Doha like he jammed eco-fanaticism, transgenderism, and floods of illegal immigrants down our throats.

It happened to South Vietnam and Afghanistan, so what lies in store for Ukraine?  The common ingredient is an antsy eagerness to leave which sets the stage for abandonment.  I saved the most egregious example of disgrace for last.

The 1938 Munich agreement with Herr Hitler, der Fuhrer, screams at us.  “Munich”, like “Hitler”, is worn from overuse.  That doesn’t mean that it isn’t relevant when the parallels are too numerous to ignore.  Let’s see, in 1938 Czechoslovakia was the next dish in Hitler’s buffet after the shredding of the Versailles Treaty, rearmament, the Rhineland, and the Anschluss.  Next is defeat of the West and Lebensraum (living space in the East) and the immortal Third Reich.

Conquest is Putin’s forte as well.  He gained power in 1999 and soon launched the Second Chechen War over Dagestan.  He leveled Grozny like Hitler did Warsaw.  An independent Chechnya is no more.  And soon to follow was Georgia in 2008.  Reaching deeper into the North Caucasus, he ripped off a couple of provinces.  All this sets the stage for Ukraine in much the same manner as Hitler eyed Czechoslovakia.  1935-9 parallels 2014-present.

For both Hitler and Putin, expansion is the goal, but standing in the way are the victim and her allies.  These allies, however, had their valor stripped by previous wars.  They were anxious to cut a deal in Trump’s Art of the Deal. Britian’s Chamberlain and France’s Daladier joined Hitler and Mussolini at Munich to construct “peace with honor”.  Czechoslovakia’s friends were much more eager for a deal (remember Trump’s Art of the Deal) than either the Czechs and Slovaks, and the wolf.  Without support and now isolated, the victim was forced to accept the dismemberment of their country with the loss of the country’s defenses abutting the lair of the wolf, the mountainous Sudetenland.  Soon after marching into the Sudetenland, by March of 1939, the wolf had the whole enchilada. No more Czechoslovakia.

Standing athwart Putin is the U.S. and NATO, and the moxie of the Ukrainians.  America’s Chamberlain, Donald Trump, has sent his reps to Saudi Arabia to cut a deal (remember the Art of the Deal), absent the Ukrainians.  Picture this: the bloody seizure of Crimea, followed by the Donbas, with the aid of proxies (like Hitler used Konrad Henlein and his Sudeten German Party), and then a full-scale invasion.

Putin reads history books.  Trump rereads his Art of the Deal.

“You should have never started it.”  Can you believe that it came out of the mouth of a U.S. president?  Trump has a problem distinguishing the rapist from the victim.  The U.S. met three rapes of the same victim with relative passivity and only decided to provide real assistance after the serial rapist tried to seize every inch of the woman’s body for his own.  In steps Trump with a counteroffer: we’ll allow you to take an arm and six toes.  After all, it’s the Art of the Deal, and the two sides meeting in the middle.  It’s beyond disreputable.  It’s disgusting.

In one final note, Putin cheerleaders on the Right bellow that they’re tired of the war.  Tired?  Not one drop of American blood has fallen in Ukraine.  These mental midgets can’t be referring to American body bags.  There aren’t any.  The victim is only asking for the guns to stop the attack.  In Trump’s twisted universe, the girl is at fault for exposing too much skin in her prom dress.  How else can you get to, “You should have never started it”?

This is shameful, shameful, but it’s not as if we haven’t been here before.

May be an illustration of ‎1 person and ‎text that says '‎RNIRZ SVEGSRENEEN-OURNAL VEGAS 20220CREATORS.COM 2022 OCREATORS.COM אממ RUSSIA WOULD WOULDNEVER NEVER TARGET CIVILIANS in POLAND. WE TARGET CIVILIANSiM in UKRAINE. ባባ @Ramireztoons michaelpramirez.com‎'‎‎

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RogerG

Sources:
1. “’You should have never started it’: Trump seems to blame Kyiv for war”, Reuters, 2/19/2025, at https://www.yahoo.com/news/never-started-trump-seems-blame-075955974.html
2. A summary of Putin’s history of aggression can be read at “Vladimir Putin’s history of conflict with former Soviet nations: the timeline and human cost”, Stacker, 2/19/2025, at https://stacker.com/stories/world/vladimir-putins-history-conflict-former-soviet-nations-timeline-and-human-cost

Irrational Exuberance without Coattails

Alan Greenspan
Supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump cheer as they watch election returns during an election night rally.
Supporters of Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump cheer as they watch election returns during an election night rally.

Allan Greenspan, Fed chairman, in a 1996 speech spoke of “irrational exuberance” when referring to the bull market of the 1990s.  He said, “How do we know when irrational exuberance has unduly escalated asset values, which then become subject to unexpected and prolonged contractions … ?”  What is true of asset markets can be equally true of the aftermath of elections.

I voted for Trump, mostly because the Democrats have made themselves toxic to civil order.  I voted against the Democrats by voting for Trump.  How many other Trump voters made the same calculation? Yet, Trump enthusiasts are in ecstasy over his victory calling it “historic”, “a blowout”, “a mandate”, “a landslide”.  Was it?  No, an emphatic no.

Start off with the popular vote.  He won the national total vote . . . by 1.5%, a first for a Republican since George W. Bush, but not a landslide.

Secondly, as I’ve stated before, the guy has never shown any coattails.  If he’s so popular, why are the results so lackluster down ballot, such as in the House and Senate?  Looking at the Senate, in a map favorable for Republicans, they only managed to flip four seats: West Virginia, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Montana.  W.V., Montana, and Ohio were gimmes, all deeply red from the get-go.  Penn. was the only contestable race.  In the other swing states that Trump won, the Democrat carried the day in the Senate race.

In the House, the Republican majority fell from 222 after the 2022 elections to 220 in 2024.  It was basically a wash.

More comparisons are necessary to get a fuller picture.  I would classify the 2024 election as a change-of-course election like the one in 1980.  In both periods, the Democrats were popularly accused of making a real hash of things.  A case could be made that Reagan had coattails in 1980.  The Republicans flipped 12 seats in the Senate that year.  And Trump boosters are cooing over four.

The favorability ratings of Trump aren’t encouraging.  Trump has always carried with him a rather high detestability factor.  In a good year during his first term, his favorability still hovered around 40%.  In the afterglow of this so-called “landslide”, it jumped to between 47% to 55% (see #1-#2).  Some polls still show him underwater.

What of other presidents?  Reagan entered the White House with a 67% to 73% approval rating depending on the poll.  Bill Clinton enjoyed a 58% favorability upon his election in 1992.  It sunk to 40% in his first term but recovered to around 60% throughout much of his second.  As for Trump, most polls today show him at around 50% as he approaches his second inaugural.

The gushing Trump boosterism in the afterglow of victory has caused some enthusiasts to lean way over their skis.  It’ll lead to great disappointment if Trump and his followers start believing their own rhetoric.  The ancient Greeks described this susceptibility of victory turning into failure in the Hubris → Atis → Nemesis → Tisis cycle.  Succinctly put, success leads to pride, pride leads to overconfidence, and overconfidence sets up your doom.

In a triumphal parade in Rome for a Roman general, a slave would stand behind the conquering hero in his chariot and whisper, “Remember, you are mortal.”  Trump and company need someone to remind them.

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May be pop art of text

RogerG

Sources:

1. FiveThirtyEight’s latest update of polls as of 12/17/2024 at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/
2. An Emerson poll for 12/17/2024 reported a Trump favorability of 55%, at https://nypost.com/2024/11/26/us-news/donald-trumps-favorability-jumps-to-post-election-high-while-president-bidens-slips-to-four-year-low/

The Hunter Biden Pardon: Politics Produces Hypocrites (Or Hypocrites Produce Politics)

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Pres. Biden, son Hunter, and an inset photo of the Biden clan

Far removed from Plato’s dream of the “philosopher king”, and his notion of politics as an avocation for the wise and godly, is the harsher reality of self-dealing in politics.  Biden finally did it: he pardoned his son.  Are you surprised?  If so, stay off the cable buying channels.  Someone else should handle your finances.

Honestly, I expected Biden to do it, or arrange some deal with the incoming Trump.  Did you really expect the son to spend a dime in penalties and serve a day in jail?  The charade of high-mindedness from Biden and press secretary Karine Jean-Pierre was for the sycophants and the “unwashed masses”, which is how the party of the masses actually views their masses.  My guess is that most of us aren’t shocked.

We’ve grown used to the truth of our politics: it’s long been a lucrative (as in “lucre”) career path, especially for long-in-the-tooth politicos like the Biden clan.  FDR had a well-heeled aristocratic lineage, and thus his quasi-socialism was an act of condescending patronage for the plebes.  But for LBJ, politics was his ticket out of the poverty of his Texas hill-country hardscrabble life.  He sold himself by using other people’s money to purchase other people’s loyalty.  Imagine it, using other people’s money to reward still other people, and all of it for fun and profit.  Adjusted for inflation, upon his death, he was worth $100 million, quite a haul for a coarse back-slapping politician from Texas’s version of Appalachia at the time.

1960s Pop Culture: Lyndon B. Johnson: The Most Interesting & Crazy of Them All
The “LBJ technique” of haranguing a person to get his way.

Self-interest and greed are alive and well, particularly among people whose public platform has long been a bellicose attack on self-interest and greed.  Nancy Pelosi provides another case in point.  A scion of Baltimore’s D’Alesandro political dynasty, her elevated social caste helped bring her into marital union with Paul Pelosi of the moneyed class.  Elite colleges, prep schools, etc., you get the picture.  It’s a form of social incest.  Power and money have always had a potent attraction.  You don’t need feudalism or capitalism to make it happen.  Quasi-socialism, as well as the unadorned kind, works too.

So, Nancy can regale us with the glories of a totalitarian lockdown by pointing to her $15,000 fridge filled with exotic, expensive, chic ice cream.  No run-of-the-mill Dreyer’s for this gal.  She gets her hair professionally coiffed while everyone else is shut in dealing with their zoomed children.  Like the nomenklatura of the Soviet Union, the old aristocracy was swept aside to make room for the Party aristocracy.  La noblesse oblige thrives under new labels.  The flotsam always floats to the top no matter the political scheme.

Nancy’s Vacay On Taxpayers Dime: Shows Off 2 Huge Fridges & Tons Of Ice Cream | Opinion
Nancy’s refrigerator and ice cream during the lockdowns.

These paragons of equity- and equality-mongering, of concern for the poor and “oppressed”, end up rolling in the dough.  So much so that they can no longer ravage Republicans as the party of robber barons.  For at least the last few election cycles, the Democrats have nationally outspent the GOP by around 100%, or more.  The Harris campaign had raised $2.15 billion when you add Biden’s billion in the early part of the campaign season, and still ran a $20 million debt.  Trump’s paltry $338 million, about half of it from donations $200 or less, seems like an embarrassment in comparison.

The party of government is also the party of the hyper-wealthy.  Their complaints about “money in politics” and their serial attacks on Citizens United were dropped from the Party’s talking points.  It couldn’t be sustained when the Brahmins of wealth lined up behind them.  So, the ritual excuses for the loss shifted to “misinformation” and “disinformation”.  In other words, they want to censor views and information that they don’t like.  It’s scandalous, but it’ll still has currency in Big Media.  They demand censorship and an ongoing alliance with Big Money and Big Media.  Why don’t they just come out and say it?  They want Orwell’s Ministry of Truth [propaganda] and Ministry of Love [persecution] (from Orwell’s “1984”).

They don’t realize that many of their beliefs are revolting to a large swath of the public.  There’s too much out there to turn your stomach.  Transgenderism – the idea that you can feel and think your way into another sex – is to be assisted by taxpayer dollars and forced into anything designated “woman/girl”.  The Leviathan is the strong arm for gender confusion and porn to adolescents.

They wrecked the economy, which everybody has experienced at the gas pump, utility bill, and supermarket.  As for crime, they only seek ways to facilitate it, not combat it.  People look around themselves and see disorder, filth, and violence.  Who wants to raise their kids in that?

The fact is, they suffer the disadvantage of their own minds.  Fewer want what they’re selling.  It doesn’t take a genius to roll out the videotape.  And they gaslight us by calling it “disinformation” and “misinformation”.  They demand that campaigns keep it airy, abstract, filled with generalities.  “Joy”, joy about what?  Trump is Hitler, and it’s the end of “our democracy”.  When you confront them with their own statements and actions, they demand a Ministry of Truth.  Who’s the real danger to democracy?

Here’s the truth: big government breeds big money in politics which breeds more big government.  More big government breeds more lucrative avenues for the unproductive, people who produce nothing but the myriads of ways to take money and opportunity from one group and give it to their voting blocks.  Now that’s the real scandal.

In all of this self-dealing, is there any wonder that they save their own from the hoosegow?  That’s a minor matter compared to what they have in store for the rest of us.

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RogerG

Sources:

1. Charles C.W. Cooke’s piece in National Review provides some insight into the scam that is our politics: “The Misinformation Racket”, 11/21/2024, at https://www.nationalreview.com/magazine/2025/01/the-misinformation-racket/

It’s the Beliefs, Stupid!

MSNBC "Morning Joe" co-hosts Mika Brzezinski and Joe Scarborough on Wednesday, Nov. 6, 2024 after the election was called for Trump.
MSNBC “Morning Joe” host Joe Scarborough called “the scope and scale” of Trump’s victory “sweeping.”

In the 1992 political war room of Bill Clinton, James Carville famously said, “It’s the economy, stupid!”  It became a cliché.  To a certain extent, it’s a key factor this year.  But more lies underneath the public’s fixation with the economy.  A troubled economy can be the product of the wrong sort of beliefs.  Furthermore, a constellation of beliefs underlies a whole range of issues as a person addresses their ballot.  At this point, it’s gone way beyond the economy.  It’s the beliefs, stupid!

While blaming the other side for economic problems can catapult a party to victory, as it did for Clinton in 1992, it can also hide disturbing party ideas that’ll only appear once in office.  It didn’t take long for Bill Clinton to uncloak the Democrats’ fetish for government control of almost everything – in this case, healthcare, 17% of the economy.  Remember Hillary Care?  People didn’t vote for this in 1992.  It brought to an end the nearly 40-year Democrat reign of the House in 1995.  Welcome to Speaker Newt Gingrich.

Forward to 2024, in the attempted postmortem of Democrat losses, donkey party enthusiasts can’t come to grips with the reality that this radical Left version of the party isn’t popular.  For instance, transgenderism swiftly took corporeal form under their tutelage and began wrecking girls’ sports, their bathrooms and locker rooms, and in tandem with the propagation of gender ideology in the schools, adolescents were exposed to porn and gender “transition”.  Gender confusion for children and Hustler-grade picture books aren’t winners.  Duh!

What were they thinking?  The Democrats chided Republicans for bringing it up as if the issue was concocted out of thin air by the GOP and Democrats have nothing to do with it.  Really?  Rachel Levine (born Richard) as Asst. Health Secretary, Biden’s “God bless you” to Dylan Mulvaney after his endorsement decimated Bud Light, a transgender celebration at the White House, and the manipulation of Title IX to sanction XY “girls” in every place with a Girl/Woman identifier are but a few eyebrow-raisers while parents watched their daughters losing to girls of the XY variety in women’s sports.  A hard volleyball smash to the face by an XY “girl” changed a real girl’s life forever.  Women’s track and swimming were distorted beyond recognition.  Women’s Olympic boxing was nearly turned into a murder scene.

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Transwoman Rose Montoya, who bared her/his breast implants at the June 2023 White House pride event.

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The muddle of broad American sentiment on transgenderism began to crystalize into general opposition, particularly when asked about specifics.  The view hardened as we approached the November 5 election.  In 2024, after discussion intensified and baleful stories of the ill-effects of transgenderism accumulated, support for the reality of sex at birth increased to sizeable majorities (65%) (see #1).  In 2023, almost 70% of respondents to a Gallup poll viewed biological sex to be the determinant of athletic participation (see #2).  YouGov in February 2024 chronicled large majorities opposing the “transition” (“gender affirming care”: psyche control, chemical and surgical interventions) of their children by authorities.

Not only were their daughters threatened by the donkey party but government was herding them into cars that they didn’t want and delivering bankrupting energy costs all around.  It seemed that the worst of California had come to their neighborhood, their garage, their schools, the intimate spaces of their homes, in many more ways than the price of eggs.  The border was erased and the illegal immigrants were rewarded with plane and bus rides to the interior.  Towns and cities and schools and housing and streets were flooded with foreign nationals who simply walked across without our approval (violating our laws).  Crime spiked.  Who voted for this in 2020?

But somehow, much of the after-election analysis skips all of this and wonders into incoherence.  Typical of the foolishness was AP’s Matthew Brown in his “An influx of outsiders and money turns Montana Republican, culminating in a Senate triumph” of 11/22/024 (see #4).  He essentially blames newcomers and outside money for Montana Democrat Sen. John Tester’s loss and the state turning red.  In fact, as of October of 2024, the Tester campaign had outspent Sheehy $69.6 million to $19.7 million.  Groups external to the candidates’ campaigns, all of it outside money, broke roughly even between the two.  Adding it up, Tester had the money advantage (see #5).

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Supporters cheer at election night watch party for Republican Tim Sheehy
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Sheehy delivers his victory speech

It showed.  Sitting on my perch in northwest Montana, I watched 4-5 Tester ads for every Sheehy one, whether streaming or broadcast.

And what of those “newcomers”?  “Newcomers” don’t automatically turn a state red.  “Newcomers” attracted to Santa Fe/Taos ambience and the “Rocky Mountain High” turned New Mexico and Colorado reliably blue.  It’s also quite possible that the migrations of the 1990’s and the early 2,000’s (to NM and Colorado for example) are politically and philosophically different from those of the last decade and a half.  The bulk of recent relocators could be classified as “refugees” fleeing the shift to the radical Left on the west coast, myself included, to outposts in Idaho and Montana.  Once again, it comes down to beliefs.

The west coast shifted hard Left after the end of the Cold War.  The state of Governor Ronald Reagan began to resemble today’s Venezuela more than the Beach Boys.  The counterculture rose to prominence as the governing philosophy.  The phenomena spread to Oregon and Washington State.

What was true of the west coast simultaneously occurred in metropolitan areas and college campuses across the country.  Our cities became hotbeds of grime and violence.  Blue states became infatuated with climate-change ideology and its attendant central planning.  Taxes, regulation, and misgovernance spread like wildfire, including the literal wildfires.

Colleges morphed into satraps of the Frankfurt School.  What’s that?  Marxist academics in the 1920s and 1930s coalesced in Frankfurt, Germany, and formed a “School”, a Marxist think tank hewing to the reformulated Marxism of the Italian Antonio Gramsci.  It came to the U.S. as its advocates fled Hitler and took positions in America’s elite colleges such as the University of California, Harvard, NYU, etc.  Thus, “woke”/critical theory/CRT/DEI arose as a rigid orthodoxy throughout academia.  It’s everywhere, unquestioned, inescapable.  It passed down the social digestive tract from faculty to student to K-12 to the commanding heights of the culture.  You can’t watch an ad, or most anything from Disney, without exposure to it.  The c-suite is consumed by it which explains why, for instance, Wells Fargo ads are filled with their various ways to reinflate the housing bubble of 2007-8, and Big Sports’ infatuation with the oppressor/oppressed schtick.

This Leftist groupthink is manifest in urban nodes where we also find the training schools – the colleges – and corporate headquarters.  When put into practice, the orthodoxy drives people away.  The consequences overwhelm any initial surface appeal.  Local economies are warped as sensitive groups like the middle class, the skilled trades, and manufacturing flee to more hospitable states.

Media people such as the AP’s Matthew Brown, infected as they are with the orthodoxy, don’t get it.  The dynamic of push/pull is as evident in politics as it is in economics.  People are pushed every bit as much as pulled in a particular direction.  Maybe “pushed” is more powerful this time around.  Could it be that voters were more repelled by the what the Democrats have become than any great affection for Trump?  In other words, has the Democratic Party become repugnant?

If so, well, we’re back to, “It’s the beliefs, stupid!”

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RogerG

Sources:
1. “Cultural Issues and the 2024 Election: 5. Gender identity, sexual orientation and the 2024 election”, Pew Research Center, 6/6/2024, at https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/06/06/gender-identity-sexual-orientation-and-the-2024-election/
2. “More Say Birth Gender Should Dictate Sports Participation”, Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup, 6/12/2023, at https://news.gallup.com/poll/507023/say-birth-gender-dictate-sports-participation.aspx
3. “Where Americans stand on 20 transgender policy issues”, Taylor Orth, YouGov, 2/16/2024, at https://today.yougov.com/politics/articles/48685-where-americans-stand-on-20-transgender-policy-issues
4. “An influx of outsiders and money turns Montana Republican, culminating in a Senate triumph”, Matthew Brown, AP, 11/22/2024, at https://apnews.com/article/montana-republicans-wealth-democrats-8a1fdd90ef328701127d8a21ebb82dd3
5. “Montana Senate race shatters spending records at $309 per registered voter”, Aubrie Spady, Fox News, 10/24/2024, at https://www.foxnews.com/politics/montana-senate-race-shatters-spending-records-309-spent-per-registered-voter?msockid=287a0b967a9564c61c991f537b2f65ee