It’s the People, Stupid

More than half the voters at San Francisco City Hall registered on Election Day - ABC7 San Francisco
San Francisco voters at the polls

“Many forms of Government have been tried, and will be tried in this world of sin and woe. No one pretends that democracy is perfect or all-wise. Indeed, it has been said that democracy is the worst form of Government except for all those other forms that have been tried from time to time.…”   Winston Churchill in the House of Commons, 1947

But, dear Winston, what happens when the people vote for lunacy, or vote into power an autocracy of the self-important who happen to be the missionaries of the lunacy?  It stays and never seems to go away until the place becomes a ghost town.  Such is the bane of our times.

To borrow another line from the demagogic James Carville in 1992, “It’s the economy, stupid.”  Rework it a bit and you would uncover another truism: It’s the people, stupid.  The civilizational rot in our deepest blue places did not originate in a foreign lab.  It was homegrown by our citizenry voting for lunacy and lunatics.  No coup put into power in Sacramento, Seattle, Portland, Los Angeles, San Francisco, Chicago, New York City, Albany, practically the entire Bos-Wash corridor, such a homogeneous grouping of the daft.  They were freely chosen by the residents who decided to show up at the polls in those jurisdictions-turned-asylums.

We know it to be lunacy because . . . just look around.  It’s littered all over the ground in these places, in the abandoned store fronts, empty commercial buildings, the gauntlet of the homeless/needles/feces, business flight, the lawlessness, the eviscerated economy from the eco-fanaticism.  Of recent note, here’s a few examples of the dégringolade (civilizational decline).

The people of California, in the grip of the decarceration schtick of the Obama years, passed Prop 47 in 2014.  It tweaked the state’s criminal code to reduce many felonies to misdemeanors, under the moniker “nonviolent”, especially property crimes with damages under $950.  Probably, the only benefit from the change is that it improved the math skills of some of the state’s worst students.  Understandably, rushing down the aisles of Nordstrom grabbing everything hither and yon and being able to produce a running – literally running – total of under $950 will sharpen anyone’s math intellect.

“Smash and grabs” have become the latest thing for many urban youths in the Golden State.  Watch the ransacking below of a Nordstrom in Topanga, Ca., Saturday, August 14.  Brazenness has become commonplace in the post-Prop 47 world of California.  It (Prop 47) was billed as a sensible response to overzealous prosecutors.  Instead, it produced A Clockwork Orange.  All of it democratically chosen.

Don’t think that’s the end of it.  Up and down the state, the mania is sweeping high-end shopping centers.  That venerable mouthpiece of “decarceration”, NPR, in a rare sign of awareness of reality, stated, “Saturday’s robbery was the third Nordstrom heist in California in less than two years.”  Days before, an Yves Saint Laurent store in Glendale was hit.  San Francisco is famous for it.

Walgreens, San Francisco, chains their freezer boxes.  Convenience shopping at a Walgreens or CVS is harder to come by since many have closed.  One shoplifter at a SF Walgreens when asked by a reporter why he didn’t pay, as he nonchalantly walked out of the store, responded casually, “It’s San Francisco, Bro.”  Watch the ABC 7 report here:

Seattle turned itself into a basket case.  Remember CHAZ (Capitol Hill Autonomous Zone – ergo, no cops allowed) from that 2020 summer of riotous “fun”?  In a recent Household Pulse Survey, Seattle residents’ disapproval of their own city ranks it ahead in the misery index of such metropolitan disaster zones as Chicago, Los Angeles, Philadelphia, and New York City.  600,000 residents were queried and half cited “rent increases” while a quarter of them pointed to “unsafe neighborhoods”.  Not a good look if you’re trying to keep or attract people.  And the policymakers that made it all happen were duly elected, and may get elected again.

Oregon, in the grip of the inmates of the Willamette Valley urban asylums, passed with a 60% majority Measure 110, drug decriminalization and stepped-up treatment programs.  Drug decriminalization occurred, but the measure’s treatment programs grotesquely floundered, so much so that the program’s director, Angela Carter, resigned one year later.  The state is a druggies’ haven with overdose deaths and crime skyrocketing and the public square filthy and littered in homeless encampments.

A self-described “left of center” Portland resident and restaurant owner, Lisa Schroeder, expressed her regrets, “If I could turn back time and repeal Measure 110 tomorrow, I would do it.”  Some are trying.  Clackamas County Board of Supervisors, which encompasses some of Portland’s suburbs, approved a resolution requesting the state to do just that.  Don’t expect that to happen any time soon.  Other popularly elected representatives stand in the way.

At root is the prevalence of a mindset – left, right, and center – that an individual’s problems are somebody else’s fault, or the costs of their misbehavior will be borne by an abstracted “other”, not by them.  They are not their own fault . . . when, in fact, they are!

This mentality is growing on the right.  The anti-racists’ “privileged” (whites) are not so privileged – look at the opioid and meth deaths among poor whites – and these destitute whites are acquiring the outlook that they too are victims of faceless, nameless “others”.  The lack of agency is as profound as the ingrained excuse-making among the youths rampaging a Nordstrom in California and their left-wing abettors in positions of power.  The it-can’t-be-my-fault is resplendent in Oliver Anthony’s “Rich Men North of Richmond” tune.  It’s gone viral.  Some lyrics:

I’ve been sellin’ my soul, workin’ all day
Overtime hours for bullshit pay
So I can sit out here and waste my life away
Drag back home and drown my troubles away

Sorry, but here’s a guy who needs to get off his ass.  Bull**** pay?  You know, he may have to walk around the homeless encampments, but he could go to school and pick up a skilled trade rather than fret about “bull****” pay while he “drown[s] [his] troubles away”.  Watch the full ditty:

That’s the problem: too many people have bought into system-mongering.  The “system” is said to be working against them, whether the panderers are talking about blue-collars in depressed areas or the deepest blue precincts who see a racist under every rug.  You see, it’s the “people” who believe in things that aren’t true.  In a democracy, a deranged people create a deranged government.  It’s time that we put the blame where it belongs – on the people – and stop the pandering.

RogerG

Read more here:

* For an excellent compendium of Churchill quotes: Churchill by Himself: The Definitive Collection of Quotations, Richard Langworth editor, 2008 edition

* Southern California thefts, including the Toganga one, here: “’Savage’ mob robbery at Topanga Nordstrom sparks outrage, beefed up LAPD patrols”, LA Times, August 12, 2023, at https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/savage-mob-robbery-at-topanga-nordstrom-sparks-outrage-beefed-up-lapd-patrols/ar-AA1fgJJO

* “SF Walgreens puts chains on freezers as shoplifters target store 20 times a day, employee says”, Luz Pena, ABNC 7 News, July 18, 2023, at https://abc7news.com/san-francisco-retail-theft-sf-walgreens-shoplifters-geary-boulevard-17th-avenue/13520154/

* “Seattle tops major metros for people feeling unsafe in their neighborhood”, Gene Balk, The Seattle Times, August 2, 2023, at https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/data/seattle-tops-major-metros-for-people-feeling-unsafe-in-their-neighborhood/

* “Oregonians Turning against Drug-Decriminalization ‘Mistake’ amid Record ODs, ‘Dystopian Nightmare’”, Ryan Mills, National Review Online, August 15, 2023, at https://www.nationalreview.com/news/oregonians-turning-against-mistake-drug-decriminalization-amid-record-ods-dystopian-nightmare/

They Just Don’t Get It

Guns, technology, and police shootings; San Francisco board of supervisors elections; AirBnB ...
County of San Francisco Board of Supervisors, Mayor Londond Breed center
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San Francisco Mayor London Breed

Many of our debates are vastly off-kilter. It begins with hugely consequential things.  Republicans seem intent on foisting Donald Trump on the country again.  The Democrats are focused on making a shambles of our country.  The former makes the latter more likely.  The abhorrent DJT is simply too ugly a face for the GOP to succeed among a national electorate.

It doesn’t stop there.  The so-called solutions have the maturity and depth of understanding of locker room humor.  Trumpkins insinuate that the country needs a Tasmanian Devil (of Looney Tunes fame) to fight, fight anyone, anyone coming from any direction, making enemies of friends.  The Dems and their fellow cultural revolutionaries (their inspiration: Mao), after creating swaths of wreckage from their cuckoo ideas, want the help of people, who they have habitually tarred, to clean up their mess.

For the revolutionaries in power, more cops to reverse the doom loop of places like San Franscisco is much less feasible of an option after years of decriminalizing criminality and the branding of cops as racists.  What they just don’t get is the fact that once the slide is initiated, like an avalanche, it’s awfully hard to stop.  This class of revolutionary ruler is emotionally and mentally ill-equipped to address the situation.

The carnage is glaringly obvious to all. Type “doom loop” and/or “San Francisco” in YouTube’s search field and you’ll see.  The list of major retailers abandoning the city is too well-known to require mention here.  The two largest downtown hoteliers prefer foreclosure to continuing operations among the filth and crime.  The iconic Westfield Mall has discovered a similar affection for foreclosure.  San Francisco is the donkey party’s policies taken to their logical conclusion.

Mayor London Breed quipped in support of additional funding for public safety, “San Francisco must be a safe and just city for all”, and her fellow-travelling potentates on the Board of Supervisors responded with an additional $60 million in funding for the Police Department and 220 more officers.  I don’t know what 220 more cops will be able to accomplish for residents, under the guise of the same ravenous Red Guards who created the situation, except spend a whole lot more money for more uniforms, training, equipment, and compensation with little real power to do anything to clear the public spaces.  What high-quality candidate for SFPD recruitment would be willing to step into that minefield?

My guess is, if the same clowns are running the show, that things might marginally improve, but “marginally improve” is a bit like “marginally mugged”.  It’s still going to be horrible, and managers responsible for many employees will recommend Zooming (stay home) if at all possible, instead of running the gauntlet.

San Francisco's Federal Building: A Desolate Symbol Amidst Escalating Crime & Homelessness Crisis
A view of the troubling walk to the entrance of the San Francisco’s Federal Building

And that includes federal employees at the downtown federal building.  HHS Assistant Secretary for Administration Cheryl R. Campbell issued the following advisory to SF district managers earlier this month, “In light of the conditions at the (Federal Building) we recommend employees … maximize the use of telework for the foreseeable future.”  Even with the added cops, any return to the office workstation won’t survive the next assault.

Nancy Pelosi’s well-publicized pleas won’t matter squat if the people in charge fundamentally still think like her.  That’s the crux of the matter: the critical mass of politics in San Francisco is infatuated with the power of the state to create Shangri-la and the view of the world through the lens of systemic victimization.  So long as that sticks between the ears, decline becomes more than an option. It’s a perpetual reality.

Ideas matter, and boy do they matter.  The clowns in San Francisco City Hall just don’t get it.

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RogerG

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* “HOW SAN FRANCISCO BECAME A FAILED CITY”, Nellie Bowles, The Atlantic, June 8, 2022, at https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/2022/06/how-san-francisco-became-failed-city/661199/

* “Federal workers in San Francisco told to work remotely ‘for the foreseeable future’ because local crime is so bad”, Chris Morris, Fortune Magazine, August 14, 2023, at https://fortune.com/2023/08/14/remote-work-federal-workers-san-francisco-work-from-home-crime-drugs/

Speaking Truth to the . . . Unhinged

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Our politics are insane, much more so than normal.  Our national figures act as if they walked off the drawing boards of the cartoonists for Warner Brothers Looney Tunes.  Our two major political parties modulate between a cult of personality and a nest of neo-Marxist revolutionaries.  It’s deranged.  Why vote?

Of special note is Donald Trump’s grip on the GOP.  Opinion polls consistently show him to be the far-and-away front runner for the nomination.  Objectively, by any measure, the guy is loathsome.  Would you actually like your children if they grew up to behave like him?  Think about it.  The bombastic self-promoting narcissism has left a trail of former allies, now turned enemies, in its wake.  All that’s left are sycophants and a chunk of the party base seemingly in the grip of a mass psychosis, for want of a better term.

To understand the gravity of Trump’s scorched earth of the party, first we must grasp the fact that there aren’t any serious RINO’s – “Republican in name only” in the mold of Lowell Weicker or the Rockefellers – in the party anymore.  Reaganite fusionism defined the character of the party, and for most still does.  RINO has been mindlessly coopted by Trumpers for anyone not enthralled by the man from Mar-a-Lago.  “RINO” is conjoined to “establishment” and the “swamp” to make the nonsense compelling to those consumed in jargon and sloganeering, and nothing else weightier.

Speaking of nothing else weightier in the head, so bound up in jargon are Trumpkins, and so ill-informed, that a gaggle of them showed up at a July 29 meeting of the California GOP to protest a rules change at the behest of their political guru, DJT.  They thought that it was the “establishment” trying to screw Trump, completely unaware that the rules change was concocted by the Trump campaign for the benefit of Trump.  Whew, go figure.

Let’s examine the line of corpses along Trump’s path to power.  Jeff Sessions, an early endorser and Trump’s first AG, was one of the first to end up on the cult’s blacklist.  The Bushes, not as flamboyant as the orange man, were reduced to wishy-washy “neo-conservative” and “establishment”, not that most of the cult’s enthusiasts could define the words.  Ex-military commanders such as John Kelley (chief of staff) and James Mattis (SecDef) quickly learned that working with an ignorant blowhard is untenable.  Hawks of the peace-through-strength variety like John Bolton – the Democrats’ bette noir and now Trump’s – was tarred for not acceding to Trump’s impulsive isolationism.  Bill Barr, Trump’s latest AG and bulwark against the Democrats’ Mueller grotesquerie, was blasted for not being sufficiently supportive of Trump’s stop-the-steal drivel.  One could go on and on.  The track record would invite the conclusion that anyone friendly to Trump will eventually become an enemy, given enough time.  The closer you get, the more likely you will get burned.

It’s even true for that mainstay of conservatism, Mike Pence, VP under Trump.  He’s now enemy # . . . for not rejecting Electoral College votes from states of Trump’s choosing on January 6. Trump besmirched Pence with the schoolyard taunt “Liddle Mike Pence” after Pence forthrightly recalled on Fox News, “The American people deserve to know that President Trump and his advisers didn’t just ask me to pause.  They asked me to reject votes, return votes, essentially to overturn the election.”  As if on cue, Trumpists showed up at a recent Pence event in New Hampshire yelling “traitor” and “sellout” as he tried to speak.

Pence brutally heckled, called a ‘traitor’ by Trump supporters at Iowa ...
Pence heckled by Trump supporters in New Hampshire

The stupidity should blast anyone in the face still in charge of their wits.  Trumpkins enjoy the jargon of epithets, such as “neo-conservative” as a substitute for adult reasoning.  That abuse of “neoconservative” by Trumpkins obscures the policy reality of “peace through strength”. Strength for what?  Yes, peace, but also a peace worth living. Reagan’s “evil empire” and “Mr. Gorbachev, tear down this wall” is the quintessence of what used to be standard Republican foreign policy.  If Trump exercised a little (liddle?) self-reflection, it was his too. Only, since the guy doesn’t read – he’s “too smart” for that – Trump had to first see it on tv: the bodies of gassed children after an Assad bombing.  It took tv before Trump realized that’s there’s something more to foreign policy than “America First” sloganeering.

Go figure, dump Reagan to chase after an opinionated cretin.  I refuse to follow the lemmings.  That old saw about the election being a binary won’t wash a third time.  I am not going to let a cult force me into seeing Trump as our only bastion against neo-Marxism.  If the country chooses neo-Marxism to Trump, which seems likely, many Republicans will have to face life outside the cult and the country will have to face life inside a hellscape.  Republicans should have presented a better option to the country.

And that’s speaking truth to the . . . unhinged.

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RogerG

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* The Trump/Pence imbroglio is recounted in, of all places, Newsmax: “Trump Says ‘Liddle Mike Pence’ Has Turned to Dark Side”, August 6, 2023, at https://www.newsmax.com/politics/donald-trump-mike-pence-truth/2023/08/06/id/1129783/

* The ill-informed but excitable Trump following at the July 29 meeting of the California GOP: “Tensions flare as California GOP gives Trump a boost by overhauling state primary rules”, LA Times, July 29, 2023, at https://news.yahoo.com/tensions-flare-california-republicans-trump-211138809.html

Making the New Soviet Man, Western Style

50 Jahre nach dem Attentat: "Dutschke hatte ein Stück Gehirn verloren" - n-tv.de
Rudi Dutschke

Creating the New Soviet Man (and woman, and whatever) necessitates control of the social mechanisms that transmit culture.  The German leftist of the 1960’s, Rudi Dutschke, coined the slogan “der lange Marsch durch die Institutionen” – the long march through the institutions – and thus compacted the strategy to a neat little quip.

Let’s face it, a radical leftist is a Marxist who has adopted the rhetorical flair of a claque of history’s Marxists – Antonio Gramsci, The Frankfurt School (Institute for Social Research and Herbert Marcuse, et al) – in expanding the list of the oppressed to include the “nots”: not white; not white and male; not white, male, hetero – you get the picture.  The doctrine then begins to overwhelm the culture once the revolutionaries shed their shaggy hair, jeans, and sandals and don tweed, professorial beards, pant suits, and gain tenure.  After that, their nonsensical ideological peccadillos permeate everything from Supreme Court opinions to PBS’s “American Experience” films.

The Frankfurt School and Ideology - YouTube

The crux of the strategy involves conjuring a statistical disparity between a hypothetical gender/race overclass and the radicals’ favored “minorities” – aka the “oppressed” – and then a jump to one of the many “isms” and “phobias” (racism, sexism, homophobia, transphobia) as the cause.  The numbers are connected to a preconceived cause – a predetermined ism/phobia – by only tenuous threads of logic and fact, at best.  Once you hear or read the shambolic reasoning, if you haven’t been previously indoctrinated and still retain your wits, you will be left scratching your head at the flight of fancy’s chutzpah.

That titan of pure reason, Supreme Court Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson, who refused to define woman in her confirmation hearing, injected an extension of the tactic (statistical disparity and leap to predetermined cause) in her dissenting opinion in Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard and UNC.  According to her, without the racial favoritism of “diversity” gamesmanship in college admissions, black babies will die.  Citing a study in one of those prestigious but newly radicalized science journals in the “long march through the institutions” (Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences), she expounded with all the confidence of an excessively opinionated sophomore, “. . . for high-risk Black newborns, having a Black physician more than doubles the likelihood that the baby will live, and not die.”  So, in her ill-reasoned reasoning, a B-average student from a poorly performing school should have precedence over a straight-A one who faced a more demanding curriculum, with race being the deciding factor.  Got that?  We’re back to racism.

Judge Ketanji Brown Jackson Declines To Define 'Woman' Because She's 'Not A Biologist,' Sparking ...

The problem: Jackson’s study is bogus.  Even the study cites a miniscule five one-hundredths of a percent (99.96% v. 99.91%) difference in the survival rate of black newborns between black and white doctors.  Diving into the flotsam of this shipwreck, the number of infants is too small to support such a tiny difference and the study’s conclusions.  The study’s methodology screams “high margin of error”.

Not only that, it relied on generalized Census data which meant that in many cases the race of the attending physician couldn’t be determined, or whether the treatment was from a nurse, physician’s assistant, midwife, or a doctor.  Other relevant factors were left on the cutting room floor, such as the plethora of social factors that aren’t evenly distributed through the population under any circumstances.  To conclude that these social disparities are further proof of systemic racism merely nestles one more logic-leap into the general logic-leap.  Welcome to the mental miasma of Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson.

Our intertwined schools and media prepare the ground for this buffoonery.  Many teachers incorporate PBS documentaries into their curriculum (I did).  Today’s “American Experience” (AE), though, isn’t the AE of a decade ago.  It’s gone woke.  Two episodes – “American Oz” and “Flood in the Desert” – illustrate the corruption.  Many of the contributing “experts” clearly worship at the altar of the groupthink. If you wanted to learn a little about L. Frank Baum and his Oz creations, you would, along with a heavy dose of racism, sexism, and genocide against “indigenous peoples”, adding at least another 30 minutes to the program.  The collapse of St. Francis Dam north of Los Angeles in the 1920’s can’t proceed without cis-gender white male racism, sexism, and the overall patriarchal contemptuousness for Gaia.

American Experience: American Oz [New DVD] 841887045384 | eBay

The St. Francis Dam Disaster | Flood in the Desert | American Experience | PBS - YouTube

The productions are littered with interesting facts . . . and a heavy dose of generational sneering.  It’s as if the production staff see themselves as a class of pure, enlightened deities passing judgment on those in the past who didn’t have the opportunity to be civilized at the feet of the great master, Marcuse.

The films are dripping with hubris, but what have these Marcuse acolytes wrought?  Inspired by the same mindset – maybe without the Molotov cocktails, riots, killings, and arson of their Antifa military wing – many of our cities, at the mercy of this governing philosophy, are in a doom-loop.  Go ahead, spend time travelling the surface streets of the doom-loop corridor from Seattle to San Diego, or Chicago (hire a protective private army), or the Bos-Wash corridor on the east coast.  If you avoid hepatitis or HIV, or cholera, from the litter of hypodermic needles and the open-air poop on the sidewalks, you may not survive the mugging.  The only thing in abundance, besides the filth, is the desire of residents to flee.  Marcuse-thought is a boon to U-Haul.

Who should be sneering, today’s half-witted who think themselves Olympian in their wisdom, or our ancestors?  Let Mark Twain cut to the quick:

“What gets us into trouble is not what we don’t know. It’s what we know for sure that just ain’t so.”

And our modern nincompoops know a whole lot that “ain’t so”. . . to our peril.

The New Man (or woman, or whatever) is a new man, woman, or whatever, mired in a hellscape.  San Francisco is the canary in the coal mine.  The bird is passed out on the floor of the cage.  Go ahead, YouTube search “San Francisco doom loop”.  Watch the video clip below, and this is what our post-modernist, neo-Marxist big wheels are proud of?  It’s shameful, absolutely shameful.

Here’s another one from a slightly different angle with the same conclusions:

RogerG

Read more here:

* “Justice Ketanji Brown Jackson’s Dissent Repeats Debunked Claim About Black Doctors”, Sarah Weaver, The Daily Caller, July 2023, at https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/justice-ketanji-brown-jacksons-dissent-repeats-debunked-claim-about-black-doctors/ar-AA1dgRln

* The study that Jackson cites: “Physician–patient racial concordance and disparities in birthing mortality for newborns”, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, August 17, 2020, at https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1913405117

* Both “American Oz” and “Flood in the Desert” can be view on YouTube.

A Plague of Arrogance

Protesters clash with police during a rally against the death of Minneapolis, Minnesota man George Floyd at the hands of police on May 28, 2020 in Union Square in New York City.
Protester yells at cop in the aftermath of the George Floyd killing

Have you ever been confronted by young activists with a cocksure belief in their righteousness and your malevolence?  I have as an academic of way too many years.  Unbeknownst to the youthful firebrand, their understanding is as shallow as a street puddle, and filled with rhetorical generalizations for which they have devoted too little time and thought to review.

Shout the slogans and it’s off to the barricades.  It’s the plague of our time, the plague of arrogance of the young and too many adults who should know better.

Of course, I am referring to our woke moment.  Being “woke” is the neo-Marxism (often called post-modernism) of reducing all our social reality to a dialectic of oppressor/oppressed with power, explicit or implicit, covert or overt, governing all relationships, public and private.  Karl Marx devised the scheme for socioeconomic class.  Others in the 20th century chimed in with race, gender, and sexual orientation.  It’s the same old spiel of reducing everyone to faceless groupings by pigment, genitalia, and bed partner.

There’s no need for individuals in the paradigm.  Toss out the corpus of Christianity, the Ten Commandments, and individual accountability and redemption while you’re at it.

Our time is lacking humility, especially among the youth on our college campuses.  While shouting down an appeals court judge – as what happened recently at Stanford – the disruptors were consumed in their self-anointed rectitude and acted like it.  Their condemnations of American and western man past and present are absent any of the reserve of the thoughtful.

The indispensability of humility was captured in the music of Kenneth Branagh’s “Henry V”, particularly “Non Nobis Domine” after the Battle of Agincourt.  The piece stems from a composition by Philip van Wilder in the 16th century to commemorate the advent of Christ and thanksgiving.  The line in the lyrics from Psalms 113:9 that captures the theme is “Not unto us, O Lord, not unto us, but to thy name give the glory” (KJV) (Latin: Nōn nōbīs, Domine, nōn nōbīs, sed nōminī tuō dā glōriam).

It’s an admonition against pride and its accompanying arrogance.  Today’s young campus extremists would do well to take notice.

Enjoy the clip from Branagh’s “Henry V”.

RogerG

A Banana Republic of the Execrable

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Jack Smith, Special Counsel

“Give me the man, and I will find the crime [for him].”  Stalin’s chief prosecutor, Andrey Vyshinsky, or Lavrentiy Beria, Stalin’s head of the NKVD (secret police)

Which one made the historic quote from the 1930’s in Bolshevik Russia?  Possibly both, but it doesn’t matter.  It’s the official governing philosophy of a country that long ago aborted the rule of law.  The law is whatever those in power say it is, a classic definition of tyranny.  Welcome to the USA, circa 2023.

Stalin And Beria | Russian history, Soviet union, Joseph stalin
Beria and Stalin
22 novembre 1954 - Muore Andrey Vyshinsky, procuratore di Stalin | Massime dal Passato
Andrey Vyshinsky

Execrable people do execrable things, such as pretend to use the law, absent any law, to target a person, just like the Stalin gang.  To be honest, though, Donald J. Trump is an execrable character.  Well, to be honest, Jack Smith, Special Counsel, is an execrable character.  Well, to be honest, the entire cabal of talking heads of the Democratic Party and their media sycophants are pretty execrable characters.  If for no other reason, this is damning proof of our descent to the level of governing respectability of the Assad regime (without the barrel bombs and poison gas) or Burma, Equatorial Guinea, Eritrea, Libya, North Korea, Somalia, Sudan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan (from Freedom House’s list of the worst of the worst).  Execrable potentates produce execrable government.

As such, banana republic may not go far enough in describing our fall from grace.

“Execrable” behavior, it must be admitted, is not necessarily a crime.  Marriage infidelity is not a crime (ergo Bill Clinton and Donald Trump), but it certainly is ruinous to the pocketbook in divorce court and lawsuits.  Ask them.  Politically, the only decent way to remove execrable characters is to vote them out of the way, and hopefully not empower other execrables in the process.  If a narcissistic, self-serving blowhard is not to your liking, here’s a clue, don’t vote for them.  But don’t take a law and stretch it to the breaking point around the necks of the detestable-but-politically-viable, as is the habit of Jack Smith and his discreditable Washington, D.C., grand jury.

But such is the modus operandi of the Democratic Party.  In the latest episode of the execrable targeting the execrable, Smith laid before us a third indictment of Trump.  Read the monstrosity here: https://storage.courtlistener.com/recap/gov.uscourts.dcd.232192/gov.uscourts.dcd.232192.275.0.pdf.

In the plethora of Trump verbalisms since the 2020 election, Smith (er, Vyshinsky) thinks that he found the smoking gun of Trump’s state of mind, because Smith’s overly distended application of the law demands clairvoyancy of the inner recesses of Trump’s brain.  In a discussion with senior advisers, Trump alludes to a matter being turned over to the next president.  What a thin reed to hang a political rival.  Do I really need to go over this flimsy thread of legal mishmash?

Yesterday (8/2/23), Bill Barr, Trump’s ex-AG, went on CNN to declare that the indictment has validity.  Hogwash.  Entering into state-of-mind divination is a dubious gambit, and doubly so when aimed at one’s political rivals.  Now, Barr may be right in that the indictment presents only a bare-bones preview of the case against Trump.  Regardless, the appearance of impropriety will do more damage to our national reputation than any actual impropriety.  If actions aren’t clearly illegal, delving into the equivalent of psychological augury won’t make them smell any better.

The administrative state’s open Democrat favoritism, the Russia Collusion hoax, the chicanery of the tech biggies and politicized intel heavies to shove Hunter’s laptop down the memory hole, the obvious double standards so numerous as to boggle the mind, etc., should make any sentient adult cringe.  We have disqualified ourselves as assessors of any other nation’s governing practices.  We should be under international observation, not be the observers.  And I don’t need Barr’s mumbo-jumbo, whatever Barr’s state of mind might be, to mask the stench oozing out of this indictment.

The second impeachment had legitimacy, mostly because impeachment is as much a political act as anything.  Trump’s behavior post-election was, and continues to be, reprehensible.  Reprehensible behavior is impeachable.  For all practical purposes, a legal pretext is nice but not necessary.  Not everything can be innocently written off as Trumpiness.

The documents indictment similarly has legal legs.  But prosecution for expressing a belief about some set of circumstances, whether actually believed or not, takes us into very dark and unsavory places.  It’s the stuff of governance in most countries of the UN General Assembly and Putin’s Russia.  Are poisonings and mysterious falls from 15-story windows next?

Are we a banana republic or something worse?  What’s even more troubling is the fact that many of the people on the public stage and with ultimate authority are either supported or elected by us.  Is this the best that we can come up with?

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RogerG

Oppenheimer, A Man Torn

Oppenheimer Movie Showtimes & Tickets | Copperas Cove, TX

J. Robert Oppenheimer is back in the news with the movie “Oppenheimer” hitting screens across the country.  As a movie, I give it “thumbs up”.  It was well-scripted, acted, and moved at a captivating pace.  Hats off to Christopher Nolan.

As history, I have my doubts.

Oppenheimer’s place in the period before, during, and after World War II is a much more contentious topic and should be.  Was he a man of dubious loyalty, maybe even going so far as to engage in espionage?  More interestingly, could his philosophical sympathies cloud his judgment in managing Los Alamos?  These questions cannot be answered in a movie.  Sympathy for the man abounds, possibly richly deserved, but some aspects of the real story are missing.  One thing is glaringly clear: nothing, absolutely nothing was mentioned, or in any way referenced, of the Venona project and its WWII decrypts of Soviet communications from the US to Moscow, or the confirmatory information gleaned from the briefly opened Soviet archives after the downfall of the Soviet regime in 1991.

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J. Robert Oppenheimer

PBS added to the Oppenheimer lore with a recent American Experience documentary, “The Trials of J. Robert Oppenheimer”, with the same blank spots as the movie.  Number one, the “trial” wasn’t a trial.  It was a panel to determine whether to pull Oppenheimer’s security clearance.  Step back one moment from the Hollywood-made aura about the man, however, and look at the facts.  Fact number one, no evidence has come to light of Oppenheimer’s involvement in espionage.  So, as a matter of law and logic, the claim of alleged treason is simply a suspicion at best.  On the other hand, the raw insights gleaned from Venona and Soviet archives presents a more complicated picture.

American Experience | The Trials of J. Robert Oppenheimer | Season 21 ...

For a clearer assessment of the period,  PBS ironically came to the rescue some years back with Nova’s “Secrets, Lies, and Atomic Spies” which was primarily based on the historical work of John Haynes and Harvey Klehr (watch it below).  The documentary and the book, “Venona: Decoding Soviet Espionage in America”, point to serious Soviet penetration of the US government and the Manhattan Project.  The movie mentions the espionage of Klaus Fuchs, but the reality is that the illicit activity didn’t end there.

Amazon.com: Nova - Secrets, Lies & Atomic Spies [VHS]: Nova: Movies & TV

Venona : Decoding Soviet Espionage in America by Harvey Klehr and John Earl Haynes (1999 ...

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Arlington Hall, Va., where the decrypting took place.

Americans acting as Soviet agents were littered throughout Roosevelt’s administration.  Lauchlin Currie, FDR’s chief economic adviser, Harry Dexter White, Assistant Secretary of the Treasury, Alger Hiss at the State Department, and a smattering of others in intelligence and federal law enforcement agencies were identified in Venona decrypts and later confirmed in Soviet archives as sources of America’s most important secrets.  Some 300 Soviet cover names were identified in the decrypts with only about 100 attached to specific individuals.  One of the unidentified was “Quantum”, and he was clearly somebody very, very important at Los Alamos.

The movie to its credit mentioned Klaus Fuchs, but there was more at Los Alamos.  One such person was Theodore Hall and his friend and Harvard confidant, Saville Sax.  Fuchs and Hall, independent of each other, provided sketches and descriptions to the Soviets of the plutonium bomb used on Nagasaki.  Shortly after the successful Trinity test in July 1945, the Soviets and the head of their nuclear effort, Igor Kurchatov, had in their hands what we had achieved and how.  Possibly this explains Stalin’s nonchalance when informed by Truman of this “super weapon” at Potsdam.

El profesor Currie cierra serie de EJE 21 - Eje21
Lauchlin Currie
Genius Amerika yang Dianggap Sebagai Pembelot Negara - Theodore Hall | Iluminasi
Theordore Hall

For me, the media productions unwittingly say more about the cultural milieu in our academic communities at that time as well as today.  Already left leaning, the onset of the Depression confirmed Marx’s critique of capitalism for many academics, just like today’s Great neo-Marxist Awakening on our campuses.  Is it all that surprising that Oppenheimer, like many others, was swimming with the subcultural current?

Who was “Quantum” and what role did Oppenheimer’s well-documented interaction with known communists and involvement in communist front activities have on his standing as a possible security risk?  Suspicions were heightened, especially after the Venona decrypts were making the rounds through federal authorities.

Yet, until informed otherwise, sympathies doth not necessarily make a traitor.  Oppenheimer was a man constantly torn between his deep-seated beliefs and his work.  It was probably true for many at Los Alamos.  Some let their sympathies get the better of them.  Fuchs was captured at Heathrow airport trying to escape.  Ted Hall escaped prosecution most likely due to the difficulty of using the decrypts in court and the reluctance of US authorities to expose our decrypting activities.  Many others were fingered but avoided the bar of justice for the same reason.

It’s a story that at the very least would add greater depth to the movie, not only making a good movie but also better history.

Please watch “Secrets, Lies, and Atomic Spies”.  You’ll find it interesting in light of the movie.

RogerG

EV Nuttery and the Vanguard of the Revolution

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Audi’s Hildegard Wortmann, Audi’s head of sales and marketing

Electric vehicles are still nuts, and still useful to make revolution pay.  Some titans of industry will smatter themselves with ill-repute to make a buck from current revolutionary fad-thoughts.  For instance, the junk-thought associated with the religio-ideological cult of climate change.  For instance, the corporate heavies angling for advantage at Audi and most of the rest of the auto industry.

Revolutionaries don’t care one twit about the bigwigs except as useful idiots.  How useful?  Lenin put it quite succinctly: “The Capitalists will sell us the rope with which we will hang them.”  Right now, the fire breathing zealots of the cult are oblivious of your needs to get to work or have a little vacation happiness to make life a bit more pleasant.  They want to shackle you to the ev whether it works for you or not.  And there is no shortage of corporate honchos who, like vultures, would like to ride the wave for fun and profit.  Some may actually believe the jargon.

May be an image of 1 person and text that says 'got rope? "The Copitolists will sell US the rope with which we will hang them." -V.I. Lenin'

Case in point: Ms. Hildegard Wortman, Audi’s head of sales and marketing, who said,

“. . . why we are doing this.  Not to sell another technology; we are doing this to decarbonize, and we need to come to an end with fossil fuels.”

I’m skeptical.  The cult dominates the state and then uses the state to make the people conform.  For Wortman and Audi, why not hitch a ride on the crusade, because the commissars are going to force the folks into buying them anyway.  Push the propaganda for it will contribute to the bottom line.  Heck, it’s been done before.  It’s the tried-and-true practice of crony corporatism to ally with the ruling zealots with the guns.

If you are going to cater to the revolution for fun and profit, may as well go all the way.  May as well patronize the whole program, including the Frankfurt School/Marcuse/Gramsci neo-Marxism that is reflected in the wokedom of “critical (race, legal, gender) theory”.  Go to the Audi website and you’ll find:

“The colonial mythology of technology that saw us as superior to nature and shepherded only the Eurocentric technologies through to the present was wrong.  Rather than continuing a narrow view of technology informed by our distance from nature, we must acknowledge that the Enlightenment mythology of technology was just one way and not the only way for humankind to progress.”

Is this from Audi, or the Princeton’s ASB?

An electric vehicle with its humungous batteries will span our “distance from nature”?  Take a look at the pictures below. Is this uniting us with nature or gouging into it?

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This and the two following images: Lithium mines for those ev batteries

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Two of 40,000 children working in lithium mines in the Congo.

Pardon my cynicism but what happens after they’ve forced us into filthy, foul-smelling mass transit, sitting beside injecting drug addicts and the psychotic, and into an ev, and then pull the rug out from under us with blackouts and mandatory closures of the mines producing the battery materials?  The same people who want you in the ev also don’t like cars, electric or fossil fuel, period.  Their crocodile tears come to mind in regard to your predicament.

Indeed, rope selling for Audi and a descent into the 19th century for the rest of us.

RogerG

Read more here:

* Audi’s Hildegard Wortmann interview at “Audi’s Hildegard Wortmann: ‘Edutainment’ needed to boost consumers’ confidence in EVs”, Larry P. Vellequette, Automotive News, 7/30/23, at https://www.autonews.com/executives/audi-sales-marketing-exec-says-ev-marketing-must-change

* The Audi statement of wokedom: “Five theses on progress”, in interview with New York-based Julia Watson, at https://www.progress.audi/progress/en/julia-watson-describes-her-stance-using-five-theses-on-progress.html#:~:text=The%20colonial%20mythology,humankind%20to%20progress.

* A general overview of Audi and the ev craze: “EVs Aren’t Undercooked, You’re Just Stupid”, Luther Ray Abel, National Review Online, 7/31/23, at https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/evs-arent-undercooked-youre-just-stupid/

A Break with Victor Davis Hanson

After Words with Victor Davis Hanson | C-SPAN.org

If you’ve listened to someone often enough, you might already know what they’re going to say before they say it.  This is not necessarily a criticism – heaven knows, it’s true of me on many subjects (talk to my wife and adult children).  But sometimes the monotony repetitively takes you to some unacceptable opinions.  This is my predicament with Victor Davis Hanson (VDH).  It is well-known that Hanson is an unflinching supporter of Donald Trump to such an extent that any Trump criticism is heavily muted, when there’s ample grounds to be critical from any perspective, while other of Hanson’s views appear newly adapted to momentary Trumpisms and the meandering and muddled political movement that has recently come into being around him.  It’s disturbing to me.

For the record, I am not new to VDH.  I own and have read many of his books, attended to his commentary on Fox News, and have been an avid listener of his podcast, The Victor Davis Hanson Show, among others.  I am well-versed on VDH’s positions; however, the Trump boosterism of late has been taken to absurd lengths.

How absurd?  The movement attached to the Trump banner is a protectionist one, an opponent of entitlement reform, near isolationist in foreign policy, and will turn on a dime at the behest of the latest self-serving political burp of its leader.  So, if DeSantis stands in the way, Trump will dust off the Left’s tax-cuts-for-the-rich and charge the Florida governor with the sin that he’s out to get your Social Security, and the legion of Trump parrots soon erupt in unison.  If, as in 2016, Jeb Bush stands athwart Trump’s path, bash the Bushes, their “forever wars”, and the ill-defined “establishment”, going so far as to come close to imitating the abuse of returning Vietnam vets by anti-war activists.  Trump’s loathing of John McCain, for instance, approaches those spittle-laced lows when he said, “He [McCain] is not a war hero” and “I am not a fan of people who surrender”, quite a statement from a candidate for commander-in-chief and later an occupant of that office.  The fact that many vets remained loyal to this man is unfathomable.

John McCain’s courage, braving attacks over the skies of North Vietnam, refusal to be released ahead of his fellow Americans in the Hanoi Hilton, and torture at the hands of his communist jailers deserves more than “I am not a fan of people who surrender”.  And all this coming from a man who benefited from five draft deferments.  Go figure.  The behavior hasn’t daunted Hanson’s Trump-praise.

Hanson’s silence over Trump’s protectionism is absolutely befuddling from a man of such a stellar academic background.  There’s simply no recognition of the potential devastation that tariffs and other trade-protectionisms has wrought.  His commentary avoids the role that homegrown government regulation, taxes, and union favoritism at all levels has played in hallowing out America, creating the Rust Belt.  Reagan disbanded PATCO (the air traffic controller union) and fired its striking air traffic controllers; Trump masks the unions’ complicity in their own demise by patronizing them with a blame of foreigners.

Any Econ 101 student knows that a foreign company doesn’t pay a tariff, but apparently not Donald Trump or Hanson, if Hanson’s silence means anything.  We hear plenty about “globalization” and “bi-coastal elites” from Hanson but nary a word about Trump’s blathering economic incoherency.  Let me set the record straight, even if Hanson won’t: when taxed, companies are pass-through agencies – the new taxes (tariffs in this case) descend on the consumer, and always will, always with price increases, sometimes with fewer choices, and many times with the loss of jobs in other sectors.  It’s a classic example of self-inflicted foot-shooting.  Remember Smoot-Hawley?  Look it up.

Treaty of Versailles and the Great Depression timeline | Timetoast timelines

Then, how do you reinvigorate blue-collar work, a key interest of Hanson’s – and mine?  Start by cleaning your own house.  Answer this question: Why are American companies fleeing our shores?  Or maybe this question: How is it that an illiterate peasant from the Chinese outback is more appealing than an American with generations of advanced cultural and human capital?  The answer lies in more than labor costs.  Hint: the first flight of American fabrication was to destinations below the Mason-Dixon line, thereby escaping the clutches of the AFL-CIO and the big-government and big-tax/regulation Democrat regimes above it.

Or, how about the devastating effect of our fascination with college-is-for-everyone?  Taxpayer grants and student loans, with taxpayers on the hook, were fire-hosed to make it happen.  Consequently, working with one’s hands became construed as placing a person barely above the apes in evolutionary development.  It’s all so crassly dopey.  Yet, the practical corollary to the largesse is a turn to the labor of semi-literate Chinese peasants so Americans can enjoy student loan debt, Sociology and ****-studies courses, their meth and the dole in depopulating neighborhoods, or extended adolescence in a growing number of failures-to-launch.  Education in America is as much a disaster as Detroit.  All of it homegrown.

In this respect, though, Hanson can be spot-on in his condemnation of the condition of our schools, K to grad school – but, Victor, please connect the dots.  Tariffs and protectionism will do nothing but mask this glaring deficit.  If you care about expanding opportunities in the “dirty jobs” sector and making the made-in-America chant more than a cover for union featherbedding, I suggest that we make our bed, clean our room, and, by God, make ourselves competitive rather than wallow in perpetual whinerhood.  And it begins with classical curriculum, classical instruction, accountability, and the rejection of government as helicopter parent.

Speaking of government as helicopter parent, Trump has staked his name to hostility to entitlement reform, and particularly the two biggest ones, by far: Social Security and Medicare.  They’re both headed to insolvency – Medicare first, soon followed by SS.  Trump, as Hanson prostrates in silence, is waiting till we saddle every American child with unrecoverable future debt, or we can no longer defend ourselves with the two domestic fiscal behemoths gobbling up more and more of the nation’s purse.  And to think that it’s only a cynical ploy to buy the votes of the seasoned citizenry with fiscal foolishness and outright lies.  The Third Rail of Politics had better be reformed or we’ll have to get used to an America with the military gravitas of Canada.  Reform is not an option.

No area is more infected with Trumpisms than in thoughts about America’s role in the world.  In this respect, Trump’s “America First” chant has morphed into a cover for a new isolationism on the right.  No issue exposes this new feature on the right more than Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.  As a historian, Hanson must realize, in the current circumstance of a hyper-aggressive Putin, that the parallels with 1939 Europe are straightforward.  Yet, Hanson dismissively expresses a quick and offhanded support for Ukraine as he muddles this backing with the new right’s pessimism about Ukraine’s longevity and our dwindling military stocks.

The incoherence should knock a sane person over the head.  The lack of Ukrainian endurance could be a self-fulfilled prophecy by the incessant complaint about our “dwindling stocks”.  More than the Ukrainian drain of our own military readiness, unwittingly, the new right is admitting that our superpower status is a joke.  It’s an admission that we can’t defend our interests and supply a country the size of Uganda in their fight against being gobbled up.  It’s 1938-9 Czechoslovakia and 1939 Poland all over again.

The Soviet Union kept the communist North Vietnamese in the field for a couple of decades, and we can’t aid a Uganda?  What makes people like Hanson think that we can defend Taiwan against the #2 economy in the world with the largest army and navy?  Ineluctably, this line of argument is a quiet admission that the “pivot” to face the CCP threat is a suicide mission.

Actually, Ukraine is a wakeup call.  Stopping one leg of the new Axis in Ukraine is directly tied to stopping the other leg in the Pacific.  Don’t think that for a moment that Xi and his minions aren’t watching our enfeebled internal debates about Ukraine.  Instead, we ought to be alerted to getting our act together by injecting steroids into our defense industrial complex and conforming our defense capabilities to the new reality of “quantity has a quality all its own”, and stop grousing about our lack of 155 munitions.  We can do that, first, by stopping our deficit-spending-till-bankruptcy, and restraining our utopia-searching and robbing-Peter-to pay-Paul domestic fiscal schemes. Our fiscal balance sheet can only tolerate so much greenie nonsense, equality-mongering, and blank checks to the elderly and everyone else “oppressed”.  At least Rush Limbaugh had the temerity to call the AARP “greedy geezers”. Instead, with Hanson and Trump, we get fiscal insanity.  Come on, Victor, speak up, make sense.

Victor Davis Hanson Podcast -- Episode 2: Rush: The Genius of, the Era of | National Review
Rush Limbaugh at National Review Institute’s fall gala, 2019. (Lila Photo)

Making sense is what we need at this stage in our country’s history, and all-to-frequently we aren’t getting it.  The reign of incomprehensibility even affects the language that we use to discern the difference between liberal and conservative.  Check this out: Hanson labeled as “liberal” conservatives who are still conservative but weary of Trump.  His charge that National Review is “liberal” is particularly stunning.  One can only conclude that Hanson’s distinction between liberal and conservative hinges on a person’s or organization’s stance toward Trump.  So, Victor, which one of these articles in the July 31 issue of National Review is “liberal”?

• “Family Policy Meets Deficit Politics: For solutions, consider the supply side”: a call for the use of conservative economics (supply side) to assist families.
• “Throwing Off China’s chains”: a defense of those in and outside of Communist China who risk their lives – many already lost them – to resist the tyranny.
• “Our Chosen Chains: Smartphones, handguns, and the destructive use of freedom”: an article on the debilitating effect of modern media, especially social media, on ourselves and our children.
• “The Restrained Roberts Court: Pace their critics, the justices respect precedent”: a retort to the leftist complaint that the Robert Court is “activist” as well as a defense of originalism, the conservative jurisprudence.
• “Supreme Modesty: Conservatives have saved the Court from itself”: the piece speaks for itself.
• “Elite Universities’ Affirmative-Action Reaction: Biased admission practices are no way to address historical injustice”: a defense of the Court’s Students for Fair Admissions v. Harvard decision that banned racial favoritism in college admissions.
• “A Year after Bruen: The current Second Amendment test leaves questions”: the article defends the Court’s protection of the Second Amendment in recent cases but admits there are problems that still need clarification.

Et cetera.

A conservative position is manifest in every issue.  I’ve been a subscriber since the early 1980’s.

The same is true for National Review Online.  Don’t take my word for it; go see for yourself (https://www.nationalreview.com). The woke would go ballistic. But here’s the crux: on the whole, the magazine is no fan of Trump and is mostly pro-Ukraine. I can only conclude that since Hanson is at least modestly pro-Ukraine, the decisive factor for being “liberal” is whether one is a Trump fan or not.  If you can’t countenance Trump’s appalling behavior, narcissism, incessant capacity to make foes of friends, and gross immaturity to blame others for his own misfortunes, you must be “liberal”.  What?!

I’ve had enough of Trump after voting for him twice. Am I now a “liberal” by Hanson’s metric?  Funny, I don’t think and feel like one.

For want of a better explanation, Hanson appears to have fallen victim to presentism, what I call the tyranny of the present.  Strange for a historian of antiquity.  In the minds of many people, current happenings and concerns are of overriding existential import, more so than anything else … ever!  Some people get caught up in the cognitive and emotional fevers of the moment, like a social contagion.  Today, the personage of Trump looms large … undeservedly so.  Trump is too small a vortex to cram the actual meaning of conservative/liberal.  Trump is only the fascination of the moment.  He too will pass.  One more GOP election disappointment to add to the growing list ought to perform the cure.

Hanson shows little awareness of it.

CARTOON: Donald Trump and the wall | Las Vegas Review-Journal

RogerG

Donald Trump, The Democrats’ Best Friend

Trump arraigned: Former president pleads not guilty to 34 felony counts
A stone-faced Donald Trump pled not guilty to a 34-count felony indictment in a Manhattan courtroom in April 2023. Trump is the first U.S. president, former or current, to be charged with a crime.

I’ve been a Republican for almost the entirety of my adult life.  As a conservative, where else is one to go?

Now, my party has a love-struck teenage fixation on Donald Trump.  Regardless of the reason for the infatuation, he stands head and shoulders above the rest in the Republican 2024 field, according to polls.  But that’s a sampling within a minority of the total electorate.  While Trump is dearly loved among a majority of that minority, he is thoroughly detested in the general electorate.  Nominating Trump will make the Democrats’ task so much easier.

The fact of broad disgust toward Trump is only one part of the bad political calculus for the GOP.  The majority of a minority seems intent on making Trump the face of the party at a time when he faces multiple criminal investigations across many fronts – namely Atlanta and Special Counsel Jack Smith – some of them more serious than others.  The majority of the minority callously sweeps aside these legal threats as if they were Russia Collusion all over again.  That would be a mistake.  Expect these existential threats to more fully hit the fan after he secures the nomination.  For the three months of the 2024 election season, the party will be saddled with a criminal defendant at trial and quite possibly a perp-walk post-election, whether he wins or loses the election.

As for his down-ticket pull – remember the results of 2018, 2020, and 2022? – a criminal defendant to lead the charge only worsens the party prospects across the board, state and federal.  An improbable win on election day would mean immediate impeachment and removal from office, with criminal sentencing later, by a decidedly hostile Congress.  Thinking beyond the momentary thrill of the political lust, a GOP trainwreck looms.

The guy is abhorred in the general voting public, and that isn’t just an opinion.  FiveThirtyEight lays out the evidence.  In eight polls from June 27 to July 11, Trump’s unfavorables outrank his favorables by no fewer than 12 points.  By July 18, the level of detestation ballooned to 16.1 points.  He’s no more likeable than Biden (see below).  For Democrats, if you’re saddled with political dead weight (Biden or any of the other substitute lightweights), bring your opponent down to your level, and that means assisting the Republicans in seppuku (suicide) – nominating Trump.  A bad hand quickly becomes a winnable one.

At this moment, Republicans are choosing seppuku while the Democrats face their own existential threat from No-Labels.  The group has a greater potential of siphoning off votes from Democrats uneasy about adolescent genital mutilation (gender-affirming care) without parental consent or knowledge, abortion at any time prior to the exit from the womb (maybe after), boys in girls’ bathrooms, locker rooms, sports, kowtowing to the CCP, the crime, the crime, and more crime.

No doubt, though, the Republican base is intent on making it possible for the Democrats to escape their vicious wrongdoing.  The Democrats have to live down their noxiousness, but the great leveler is Donald Trump.  Look at the numbers.  They haven’t changed much and will only get worse for the GOP as we proceed to election day 2024.

Yep, Donald Trump is the Democrats’ best friend . . . and maybe their only hope.

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RogerG

Read more here:

* “Latest Polls”, FiveThirtyEight, July 18, 2023, at https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump/